{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/NeF8emCiQFoHmtPWzgbz","as_of":"2026-10-13T08:52:42.853176Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war\" — 35% as of 2026-10-13 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/NeF8emCiQFoHmtPWzgbz","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/SmithJon/will-ukraine-lose-the-donbas-region"},"source":"manifold","id":"NeF8emCiQFoHmtPWzgbz","ticker":null,"slug":"will-ukraine-lose-the-donbas-region","title":"Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war","description":"Before February 24th 2022, the administration of the Donbas region was split between the LPR, the DPR, and Ukraine. Part of the announced goals of the Russian invasion is to gain control of the entire region. This market resolves to yes if 1) a peace treaty is signed between Ukraine and Russia  2) the treaty requires Ukraine to relinquish control over the entire Donbas region. Picture for reference: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donbas#/media/File:Map_of_Donbas_region.svg","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-04-08T03:00:14.517000Z","end_date":"2027-05-15T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":136166.39483283414,"volume_24hr":75.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.759376525878906,"normalized_volume":51.425209045410156,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.353205,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war","top_outcome_probability":0.353205,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.008234000000000019,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-125.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-13T03:00:13.190270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T03:00:13.190270Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/SmithJon/will-ukraine-lose-the-donbas-region","chart_24h":[0.361439,0.353205,0.353205,0.353205],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"NeF8emCiQFoHmtPWzgbz","event_id":"NeF8emCiQFoHmtPWzgbz","slug":"will-ukraine-lose-the-donbas-region","question":"Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war","group_item_title":null,"description":"Before February 24th 2022, the administration of the Donbas region was split between the LPR, the DPR, and Ukraine. Part of the announced goals of the Russian invasion is to gain control of the entire region. This market resolves to yes if 1) a peace treaty is signed between Ukraine and Russia  2) the treaty requires Ukraine to relinquish control over the entire Donbas region. Picture for reference: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donbas#/media/File:Map_of_Donbas_region.svg","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.353205,0.646795],"probability":0.353205,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-04-08T03:00:14.517000Z","end_date":"2027-05-15T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":136166.39483283414,"volume_24hr":75.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.008234000000000019,"volume_24h_change":-125.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.759971618652344,"normalized_volume":51.425209045410156,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T02:58:09.190988Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T02:58:09.190988Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/SmithJon/will-ukraine-lose-the-donbas-region","event_title":"Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war","chart_24h":[0.361439,0.353205,0.353205,0.353205]}]}