{"source":"manifold","id":"O26C9qg090","ticker":null,"slug":"australia-reverses-under16-social-m","title":"Australia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?","description":"Resolves YES iff the social media ban for under 16 year olds in Australia implemented in December 2025 is no longer law at any point from January 1st to December 31st 2026 according to consensus of credible reporting.\n\nUpdate 2025-12-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional resolution criteria:\n\nChanges to the list of banned sites will not count as YES unless only one or fewer sites remain restricted (currently ten sites are restricted)\n\nDecreases to the age limit count as YES only if reduced by at least two years\n\nIf the law is rendered constitutionally invalid by a successful High Court challenge, this counts as YES\n\nChanges must take legal effect at any point in 2026 for YES, not merely announced\n\nIntroduction of a parental consent exemption would count as YES","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-10T03:28:30.370000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17446.313952211898,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.80854034423828,"liquidity":2000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.072259,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Australia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.072259,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/brod/australia-reverses-under16-social-m","chart_24h":[0.072259,0.072259],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"O26C9qg090","event_id":"O26C9qg090","slug":"australia-reverses-under16-social-m","question":"Australia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves YES iff the social media ban for under 16 year olds in Australia implemented in December 2025 is no longer law at any point from January 1st to December 31st 2026 according to consensus of credible reporting.\n\nUpdate 2025-12-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional resolution criteria:\n\nChanges to the list of banned sites will not count as YES unless only one or fewer sites remain restricted (currently ten sites are restricted)\n\nDecreases to the age limit count as YES only if reduced by at least two years\n\nIf the law is rendered constitutionally invalid by a successful High Court challenge, this counts as YES\n\nChanges must take legal effect at any point in 2026 for YES, not merely announced\n\nIntroduction of a parental consent exemption would count as YES","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.072259,0.927741],"probability":0.072259,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-10T03:28:30.370000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17446.313952211898,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.80854034423828,"liquidity":2000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T10:23:48.454540Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T01:08:11.392652Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/brod/australia-reverses-under16-social-m","event_title":"Australia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.072259,0.072259]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/O26C9qg090","as_of":"2026-06-11T14:13:34.531966Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Australia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?\" — top market at 7% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}