{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/OZyg8Olyy2","as_of":"2026-10-24T06:09:38.521102Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?\" — 1% as of 2026-10-11 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/OZyg8Olyy2","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Bandors/will-america-annex-any-part-of-cana"},"source":"manifold","id":"OZyg8Olyy2","ticker":null,"slug":"will-america-annex-any-part-of-cana","title":"Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?","description":"This market resolves yes if any part of Canadian territory becomes American territory before 12/31/2026 \n\nUpdate 2025-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Claim vs. Action:\n\nA sovereignty claim is an assertion of rights.\n\nAnnexation is the actual process of taking control and incorporating the territory into the state's jurisdiction.\n\nWhat Would Annexation Look Like?\n\nDeclaration: The U.S. government would issue a formal declaration stating the annexation of Machias Seal Island.\n\nAnnexation Requires Action: Simply claiming does not equate to annexing. Annexation requires actual control and incorporation, not just a claim.\n\nUpdate 2025-03-01 (PST): - Annexation Requires Action: For example, the United States sending personnel to forcibly take control of the territory would resolve this market to YES. (AI summary of creator comment)","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/TimothyBandors/AU00I6U850.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-03T08:38:00.341000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T16:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29438.11463803032,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.9460334777832,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.010392,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.010392,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-11T08:16:11.332414Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T08:16:11.332414Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Bandors/will-america-annex-any-part-of-cana","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"OZyg8Olyy2","event_id":"OZyg8Olyy2","slug":"will-america-annex-any-part-of-cana","question":"Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market resolves yes if any part of Canadian territory becomes American territory before 12/31/2026 \n\nUpdate 2025-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Claim vs. Action:\n\nA sovereignty claim is an assertion of rights.\n\nAnnexation is the actual process of taking control and incorporating the territory into the state's jurisdiction.\n\nWhat Would Annexation Look Like?\n\nDeclaration: The U.S. government would issue a formal declaration stating the annexation of Machias Seal Island.\n\nAnnexation Requires Action: Simply claiming does not equate to annexing. Annexation requires actual control and incorporation, not just a claim.\n\nUpdate 2025-03-01 (PST): - Annexation Requires Action: For example, the United States sending personnel to forcibly take control of the territory would resolve this market to YES. (AI summary of creator comment)","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/TimothyBandors/AU00I6U850.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.010392,0.989608],"probability":0.010392,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-03T08:38:00.341000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T16:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":29438.11463803032,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.9460334777832,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T08:15:30.972810Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T08:15:30.972810Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Bandors/will-america-annex-any-part-of-cana","event_title":"Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?","chart_24h":null}]}