{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/OchSUnInIq","as_of":"2026-10-29T18:38:12.715568Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date\" — 19 markets; highest \"Before January 2027\" at 99% as of 2026-10-29 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/OchSUnInIq","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4"},"source":"manifold","id":"OchSUnInIq","ticker":"OchSUnInIq","slug":"when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","description":"Minor changes to the name, such as 'Qwen 4.0', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Qwen 4, will count for the purpose of this market.\n\nThe model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.\n\nSee also:\n\n@8AyI5Np5yl \n\n@OchSUnInIq (this market)\n\n@2OzL6Q56y8 \n\n@2CqdhIO9cU \n\n@AzzEpzA8ys \n\n@ntStglnQz0 \n\n@RlI6hyuNpU \n\n@2Rh2t5hALp \n\n@NONz6Ntycp \n\n@l9lRst5288 \n\n@ORA9UAlgdI \n\n@QL5hAdgQld \n\n@8d2z2tUgsu \n\n@5lA5APSyPy \n\n@shslZstnCN \n\n@tO96p5USgQ \n\n@NlZyqghLqQ \n\n@cc5SnN5St2 ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-08T19:50:02.195000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21401.339992779675,"volume_24hr":2780.838659558901,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":60.572486877441406,"normalized_volume":36.564945220947266,"liquidity":2100.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":["ai","ai-model-releases","alibaba","technology-default","qwen"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before January 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.271672,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":815.2932140895368,"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:15.865253Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:15.865253Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.075397Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","chart_24h":[506.76740612399055,511.76740612399055,521.7674061239906,531.7674061239906,520.231932213847,507.0662786935945,492.0662786935945,492.0662786935945,3077.9049382524954,3013.9049382524954,2780.838659558901],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":19,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"LcUZ6NQCOR","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before January 2027","group_item_title":"Before January 2027","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.01],"probability":0.99,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-28T15:51:14.837000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":950.2562290503174,"volume_24hr":835.2932140895368,"prob_24h_change":0.271672,"volume_24h_change":815.2932140895368,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.695491790771484,"normalized_volume":17.295486450195312,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:22.922458Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T16:00:13.999109Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.718328,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Qh9A8huPuZ","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before February 2027","group_item_title":"Before February 2027","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.01],"probability":0.99,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-28T15:51:15.019000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":919.5457458818078,"volume_24hr":805.5580083627444,"prob_24h_change":0.207943,"volume_24h_change":755.5580083627444,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.17291259765625,"normalized_volume":17.130353927612305,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:22.922458Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T16:00:13.999109Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.782057,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dtPP8CPp09","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before March 2027","group_item_title":"Before March 2027","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.01],"probability":0.99,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-28T15:51:15.188000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":894.9874371066196,"volume_24hr":794.9874371066196,"prob_24h_change":0.18999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":694.9874371066196,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.98318862915039,"normalized_volume":16.994882583618164,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:22.922458Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T16:00:13.999109Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"manifold","id":"E8C9Es8q98","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before December 2026","group_item_title":"Before December 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.909858,0.090142],"probability":0.909858,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-28T15:51:14.556000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":279.11552621375057,"volume_24hr":205.0,"prob_24h_change":0.29985799999999996,"volume_24h_change":130.88447378624943,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.528018951416016,"normalized_volume":11.678423881530762,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:22.922458Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T16:00:13.999109Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.61,0.61,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.580786,0.909858,0.909858,0.909858,0.909858]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8Z5lUzSOcs","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before November 2026","group_item_title":"Before November 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.151057,0.848943],"probability":0.151057,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T04:38:08.817000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1302.4105433330913,"volume_24hr":140.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.248504,"volume_24h_change":61.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.33802032470703,"normalized_volume":18.92061996459961,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:22.922458Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.428354Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.399561,0.399561,0.399561,0.399561,0.399561,0.399561,0.362592,0.362592,0.362592,0.362592,0.362592,0.362592,0.362592,0.362592,0.362592,0.362592,0.362592,0.421865,0.421865,0.421865,0.421865,0.421865,0.421865,0.421865,0.421865,0.421865,0.151057,0.151057,0.151057,0.151057]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0IqN5gputP","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before March 2026","group_item_title":"Before March 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-08T19:50:02.195000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2681.649075721005,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.92034339904785,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:29.703104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.428354Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"86SdhO2POO","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before December 2025","group_item_title":"Before December 2025","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-08T19:50:02.195000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":320.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.249935150146484,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:29.703104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.428354Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8gtZC6lIgp","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before January 2026","group_item_title":"Before January 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-08T19:50:02.195000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1153.6060912550693,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.28647804260254,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:29.703104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.428354Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"C2plnULUSs","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before February 2026","group_item_title":"Before February 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-08T19:50:02.195000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":841.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.685569763183594,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:29.703104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.428354Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"OczSPLS9c5","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before November 2025","group_item_title":"Before November 2025","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-08T19:50:02.195000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":390.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.101645469665527,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:29.703104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.428354Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"SZCgQUlqgQ","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before May 2026","group_item_title":"Before May 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-02T15:08:06.023000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1270.6553724061434,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.790719985961914,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:29.703104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.428354Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ZltUI8hEsu","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before June 2026","group_item_title":"Before June 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-03T23:54:20.820000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1090.581634628757,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.99650764465332,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:29.703104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.428354Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"g9zUhqlPP2","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before October 2025","group_item_title":"Before October 2025","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-08T19:50:02.195000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":968.7342963832748,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.392662048339844,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:29.703104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.428354Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hlsIh9c22N","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before September 2025","group_item_title":"Before September 2025","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-08T19:50:02.195000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:29.703104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.428354Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lQ0qyIy9IQ","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before October 2026","group_item_title":"Before October 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-13T09:18:31.140000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2577.794969876001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.6916561126709,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:29.703104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.428354Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lgARzCUNc9","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before September 2026","group_item_title":"Before September 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-13T09:18:19.633000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1043.009969078355,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.767972946166992,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:29.703104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.428354Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"q6OdPCdQtQ","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before April 2026","group_item_title":"Before April 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-08T19:50:02.195000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":989.7855416067646,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.501462936401367,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:29.703104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.428354Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"qZU0ZAhPgu","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before August 2026","group_item_title":"Before August 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-13T09:18:11.913000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":985.8642525728076,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.481346130371094,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:29.703104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.428354Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"yOtSCshuOu","event_id":"OchSUnInIq","slug":null,"question":"Before July 2026","group_item_title":"Before July 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-03T23:54:51.467000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1346.3433076659217,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.095916748046875,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:29.703104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T18:28:16.950441Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T13:34:59.428354Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4","event_title":"Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}