{"source":"manifold","id":"OlIt6us9Q2","ticker":null,"slug":"gemini-4-released-in-2026","title":"Gemini 4 released in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T19:20:58.116000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16525.135664326805,"volume_24hr":2916.798371850343,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":65.80321502685547,"normalized_volume":34.82443618774414,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":["google-ef2cf716540e","upcoming-releases","google-gemini","ai-model-releases","ai"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.98,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gemini 4 released in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.013139000000000012,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2166.798371850343,"updated_at":"2026-10-01T01:34:45.629436Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T01:34:45.629436Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:22:10.966071Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/gemini-4-released-in-2026","chart_24h":[0.966861,0.967279,0.967279,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"OlIt6us9Q2","event_id":"OlIt6us9Q2","slug":"gemini-4-released-in-2026","question":"Gemini 4 released in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.02],"probability":0.98,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T19:20:58.116000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16525.135664326805,"volume_24hr":2916.798371850343,"prob_24h_change":0.013139000000000012,"volume_24h_change":2166.798371850343,"normalized_vol_24hr":65.80321502685547,"normalized_volume":34.82443618774414,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T01:34:08.332178Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T01:34:08.332178Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:22:10.966071Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/gemini-4-released-in-2026","event_title":"Gemini 4 released in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.966861,0.967279,0.967279,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/OlIt6us9Q2","as_of":"2026-10-01T01:52:29.491436Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Gemini 4 released in 2026?\" — top market at 98% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}