{"source":"manifold","id":"OuORSNnRZP","ticker":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":"prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","description":"This market refers only to the seat held by Lisa Cook, not any other Fed seats\n\nUpdate 2025-08-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Announces replacement means Trump announces an intended replacement for Lisa Cook's seat; the nominee does not need to be seated.\n\nThus, courts blocking the replacement does not preclude the announcement outcome; both can occur.\n\nUpdate 2025-08-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - \"By 2026\" means \"before 2026\", not by the end of 2026.\n\n\"By\" and \"before\" are used interchangeably in answer options; expect \"before\" to be used consistently.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T02:24:52.228000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20079.637163929303,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.848228454589844,"liquidity":2500.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["magaland","us-politics","trumps-second-term","politics-default","donald-trump"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Supreme Court ruling on the shadow docket","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.087263Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.087263Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"0sgR565lNP","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"Supreme Court ruling on the shadow docket","group_item_title":"Supreme Court ruling on the shadow docket","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T03:30:11.340000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":907.1866607869906,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.416730880737305,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"EOZdh89Pqp","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"Cook remains in her position as of the September rate-setting meeting","group_item_title":"Cook remains in her position as of the September rate-setting meeting","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T02:24:52.228000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":757.3128169985696,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.50661849975586,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Q00L5LEphh","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"Cook gives a published interview (3 questions or more) before 2026","group_item_title":"Cook gives a published interview (3 questions or more) before 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T14:47:08.651000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":855.7417449545154,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.119794845581055,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lgcPRNZILU","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"At least 3 current or former Fed Govs issue public statements defending Cook or Fed independence before 2026","group_item_title":"At least 3 current or former Fed Govs issue public statements defending Cook or Fed independence before 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T02:32:12.449000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"tO9tdAd8L2","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"A court issues a temporary injunction preventing Cook’s removal before 2026","group_item_title":"A court issues a temporary injunction preventing Cook’s removal before 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T02:24:52.228000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":546.3061163149434,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.923091888427734,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"sN0s9dg8Nd","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"A Supreme Court ruling (regular or shadow docket) has at least 3 dissents","group_item_title":"A Supreme Court ruling (regular or shadow docket) has at least 3 dissents","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.660769,0.339231],"probability":0.660769,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T14:43:34.530000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":170.6922202184822,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.93978500366211,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769,0.660769]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9c0uQzpgIU","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"A higher court reverses a lower court (appeal, tro, etc) ","group_item_title":"A higher court reverses a lower court (appeal, tro, etc) ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.514345,0.485655],"probability":0.514345,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T03:33:52.059000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":52.40639114490399,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.940210819244385,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345,0.514345]},{"source":"manifold","id":"RUZ9ZnqlPn","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"A sitting GOP Senator criticizes the firing (more than just concerns)","group_item_title":"A sitting GOP Senator criticizes the firing (more than just concerns)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.250991,0.749009],"probability":0.250991,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T15:05:41.202000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":153.96054287175377,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.547612190246582,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991,0.250991]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2QNyqSSshN","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"Cook's replacement votes when regional Fed Presidents' terms are up for renewal (Feb 2026)","group_item_title":"Cook's replacement votes when regional Fed Presidents' terms are up for renewal (Feb 2026)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.223921,0.776079],"probability":0.223921,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T14:46:35.685000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":119.99999999999999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.633917808532715,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921,0.223921]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Q6qu6IU8Nz","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"Trump will make up a nickname for Cook (announced via post or interview)","group_item_title":"Trump will make up a nickname for Cook (announced via post or interview)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.175627,0.824373],"probability":0.175627,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T23:46:09.169000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":136.01253133153995,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.087207794189453,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627,0.175627]},{"source":"manifold","id":"p9LROshlyA","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"A plaintiff sues the Fed, asking court to enforce Cook's firing","group_item_title":"A plaintiff sues the Fed, asking court to enforce Cook's firing","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.122196,0.877804],"probability":0.122196,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T14:42:48.369000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":356.2915138845345,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.972635269165039,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196,0.122196]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2PqI65SsS6","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"Cook is barred from at least 1 FOMC meeting, AND her firing is ultimately deemed illegal","group_item_title":"Cook is barred from at least 1 FOMC meeting, AND her firing is ultimately deemed illegal","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.103189,0.896811],"probability":0.103189,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T14:44:38.056000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":70.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.821076393127441,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189,0.103189]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hcAL90Szp5","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"Cook is indicted for a felony related to her mortgages before litigation about her firing is completed","group_item_title":"Cook is indicted for a felony related to her mortgages before litigation about her firing is completed","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.062381,0.937619],"probability":0.062381,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T14:47:28.938000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":128.47882759125173,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.879498481750488,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381,0.062381]},{"source":"manifold","id":"zOcznSdlI0","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"Senate Committee holds a hearing for nominee to Cook’s seat before 2026","group_item_title":"Senate Committee holds a hearing for nominee to Cook’s seat before 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.022774,0.977226],"probability":0.022774,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T02:24:52.228000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":810.9245045566311,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.848461151123047,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774,0.022774]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Q2IcS22nQI","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"Cook resigns","group_item_title":"Cook resigns","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.014984,0.985016],"probability":0.014984,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-28T11:36:23.880000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16.187388944749994,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.036689519882202,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984,0.014984]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0OdtPuznqd","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"Cook is charged with any crime by the Justice Department before 2026","group_item_title":"Cook is charged with any crime by the Justice Department before 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-04T14:10:22.370000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1087.9469171014155,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.35736656188965,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ZRgzqnl86P","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"Trump threatens to fire Powell \"for cause\" since he didn't remove Cook","group_item_title":"Trump threatens to fire Powell \"for cause\" since he didn't remove Cook","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T14:49:13.461000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1024.675408329645,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.04443359375,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"manifold","id":"s25EnqtuCC","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"Trump actually attempts to fire Powell before Cook firing litigation is complete","group_item_title":"Trump actually attempts to fire Powell before Cook firing litigation is complete","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T14:50:11.102000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1074.9897704747677,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.294572830200195,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0PQAA22OC2","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"Supreme Court hears arguments or makes ruling on the incident before 2026","group_item_title":"Supreme Court hears arguments or makes ruling on the incident before 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T02:24:52.228000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1554.0220424020306,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.275564193725586,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5pyhtLhuSP","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026","group_item_title":"Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T02:24:52.228000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":795.2112625271795,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.750307083129883,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Uq596ASyzU","event_id":"OuORSNnRZP","slug":null,"question":"Yields on 10-year US Treasuries surpass 4.600% anytime before 10/1/25","group_item_title":"Yields on 10-year US Treasuries surpass 4.600% anytime before 10/1/25","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-27T02:24:52.228000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T03:14:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1290.0449447660717,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.26205062866211,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:34.299089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:59:29.131339Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/prop-bet-what-will-happen-in-trumps","event_title":"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/OuORSNnRZP","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:04:44.036973Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]\" — top market at 100% probability across 21 outcomes","source_url":null}}