{"source":"manifold","id":"P0R6uAC2nU","ticker":null,"slug":"will-anthropic-restore-access-to-fa","title":"Will Anthropic restore access to Fable 5 to all customers by the end of June?","description":"The United States Government has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States.\n\nAnthropic is currently disabling Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all customers.\n\nSee https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access for more.\n\nI will resolve this YES if Fable 5 is generally available to any customer, regardless of nationality. If Fable is available only on the API but is available to anyone who pays those per-token costs, I will still resolve that as YES.\n\nSee also: https://manifold.markets/PhilipDowdell/will-anthropic-restore-access-to-fa-dQzO5lRQt8\n\n[link preview]","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-13T01:26:04.104000Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5593.716442891284,"volume_24hr":3321.369308108763,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":59.80643081665039,"normalized_volume":27.949033737182617,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.352057,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Anthropic restore access to Fable 5 to all customers by the end of June?","top_outcome_probability":0.352057,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.028442999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-111.77780143631526,"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:18:57.974939Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:18:57.974939Z","added_at":"2026-06-14T11:32:55.033569Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/PhilipDowdell/will-anthropic-restore-access-to-fa","chart_24h":[0.323614,0.323614,0.350373,0.350373,0.352057,0.352057],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"P0R6uAC2nU","event_id":"P0R6uAC2nU","slug":"will-anthropic-restore-access-to-fa","question":"Will Anthropic restore access to Fable 5 to all customers by the end of June?","group_item_title":null,"description":"The United States Government has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States.\n\nAnthropic is currently disabling Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all customers.\n\nSee https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access for more.\n\nI will resolve this YES if Fable 5 is generally available to any customer, regardless of nationality. If Fable is available only on the API but is available to anyone who pays those per-token costs, I will still resolve that as YES.\n\nSee also: https://manifold.markets/PhilipDowdell/will-anthropic-restore-access-to-fa-dQzO5lRQt8\n\n[link preview]","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.352057,0.647943],"probability":0.352057,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-13T01:26:04.104000Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5593.716442891284,"volume_24hr":3321.369308108763,"prob_24h_change":0.028442999999999996,"volume_24h_change":-111.77780143631526,"normalized_vol_24hr":59.80643081665039,"normalized_volume":27.949033737182617,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:19:35.977397Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:51.360535Z","added_at":"2026-06-14T11:32:55.033569Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/PhilipDowdell/will-anthropic-restore-access-to-fa","event_title":"Will Anthropic restore access to Fable 5 to all customers by the end of June?","chart_24h":[0.323614,0.323614,0.350373,0.350373,0.352057,0.352057]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/P0R6uAC2nU","as_of":"2026-06-14T16:23:04.317379Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Anthropic restore access to Fable 5 to all customers by the end of June?\" — top market at 35% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}