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So far there have been no announcement of the first attempt of propellant transfer between two ships.\n\nFor this market to resolve positively, the following should happen:\n\nOne Starship has to be launched and reach orbit.\n\nThe second Starship has to be launched while the first Starship is still in orbit.\n\nIt has to be announced either ahead of time or after the fact that propellant transfer is planned or has been attempted.\n\nThe attempt doesn't have to be successful. It will count even if the second Starship fails to reach orbit.\n\nIf the market gets popular and the timeframe proves to be too short, I'll add extra options.\n\nRelated questions:\n\n@/jack/by-when-will-there-be-a-3rd-starshi \n\n@/OlegEterevsky/when-will-the-4th-starship-launch-h \n\n@/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-starship-reach-orb \n\n@/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-or \n\n@/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-dock-to-a \n\nI do not bet on my own questions.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/OlegEterevsky%2F6a0359e8c55e.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-10T20:03:49.095000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28558.04549765907,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.51475143432617,"liquidity":2815.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Science and 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