{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/PAz2XOTsrmqKwJhNl57F","as_of":"2026-10-24T13:25:03.152147Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027?\" — 4% as of 2026-10-20 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/PAz2XOTsrmqKwJhNl57F","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/jonny/will-bethesda-publicly-release-the"},"source":"manifold","id":"PAz2XOTsrmqKwJhNl57F","ticker":null,"slug":"will-bethesda-publicly-release-the","title":"Will Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027?","description":"Tod Howard recently confirmed that TES VI is still in pre-production, despite originally teasing the game at E3 2018: https://www.ign.com/articles/todd-howard-bethesda-fallout-5-elder-scrolls-6-starfield?utm_source=twitter\n\n\nWill resolve to YES if the game is available for members of the public to purchase, download and play on any major console/platform, before January 1st 2027. Will resolve to NO if the game is only available as part of a \"public beta\" or similar.\n\nIf the game does not explicitly contain \"The Elder Scrolls VI\" in its title, I will resolve at my discretion whether it is still The Elder Scrolls VI de facto.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FlNza-L3x8w.png?alt=media&token=ad86edfe-c4a6-4b3f-a591-44e33d70eda5","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-19T12:53:44.925000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11293.322589905207,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.03173065185547,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.044198,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.044198,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-20T19:29:40.283303Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T19:29:40.283303Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/jonny/will-bethesda-publicly-release-the","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"PAz2XOTsrmqKwJhNl57F","event_id":"PAz2XOTsrmqKwJhNl57F","slug":"will-bethesda-publicly-release-the","question":"Will Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Tod Howard recently confirmed that TES VI is still in pre-production, despite originally teasing the game at E3 2018: https://www.ign.com/articles/todd-howard-bethesda-fallout-5-elder-scrolls-6-starfield?utm_source=twitter\n\n\nWill resolve to YES if the game is available for members of the public to purchase, download and play on any major console/platform, before January 1st 2027. Will resolve to NO if the game is only available as part of a \"public beta\" or similar.\n\nIf the game does not explicitly contain \"The Elder Scrolls VI\" in its title, I will resolve at my discretion whether it is still The Elder Scrolls VI de facto.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FlNza-L3x8w.png?alt=media&token=ad86edfe-c4a6-4b3f-a591-44e33d70eda5","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.044198,0.955802],"probability":0.044198,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-19T12:53:44.925000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":11293.322589905207,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.03173065185547,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T19:28:53.521007Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T19:28:53.521007Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/jonny/will-bethesda-publicly-release-the","event_title":"Will Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027?","chart_24h":null}]}