{"source":"manifold","id":"PoKr6DRhPR90UW889T9o","ticker":null,"slug":"will-russia-pay-any-reparations-to","title":"Will Russia pay any reparations to Ukraine by 2030?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-30T11:49:07.547000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6526.948364673913,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.518619537353516,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.095506,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Russia pay any reparations to Ukraine by 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.095506,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-10T08:37:17.340572Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T08:37:17.340572Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T11:38:34.552913Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/V_L/will-russia-pay-any-reparations-to","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"PoKr6DRhPR90UW889T9o","event_id":"PoKr6DRhPR90UW889T9o","slug":"will-russia-pay-any-reparations-to","question":"Will Russia pay any reparations to Ukraine by 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.095506,0.904494],"probability":0.095506,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-30T11:49:07.547000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6526.948364673913,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.518619537353516,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-09-10T08:36:34.071065Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T08:36:34.071065Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T11:38:34.552913Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/V_L/will-russia-pay-any-reparations-to","event_title":"Will Russia pay any reparations to Ukraine by 2030?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/PoKr6DRhPR90UW889T9o","as_of":"2026-09-25T12:46:06.733309Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Russia pay any reparations to Ukraine by 2030?\" — top market at 10% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}