{"source":"manifold","id":"Q9dc02E9SZ","ticker":null,"slug":"will-christopher-nolans-the-odyssey","title":"Will Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey gross over $112.5 Million in its domestic opening weekend?","description":"YES: The 3-day domestic (U.S. and Canada) opening weekend gross (July 17–19, 2026) is strictly greater than $112.5 Million.\n\nNO: The gross is exactly $112.5 Million or less.\n\nData Source: Primary resolution will be based on the official weekend \"Actuals\" reported by Box Office Mojo. If BOM is unavailable  The Numbers will serve as the secondary source.\n\nTiming: The market will resolve as soon as official actuals are published (typically Monday, July 20, or Tuesday, July 21). Studio weekend estimates (released on Sunday) will not trigger resolution. HOWEVER if the BO estimate is signficantly above or below 112.5 million (by 10 million or more). then I will resolve on Sunday.  ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T06:31:07.406000Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5137.95838954898,"volume_24hr":2588.1485127650094,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":66.44967651367188,"normalized_volume":27.38986587524414,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.475305,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey gross over $112.5 Million in its domestic opening weekend?","top_outcome_probability":0.475305,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.005689,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":932.4477099744549,"updated_at":"2026-07-15T21:40:02.139342Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T21:40:02.139342Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T12:46:32.789314Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/ShaneBo/will-christopher-nolans-the-odyssey","chart_24h":[0.469616,0.469616,0.469616,0.483899,0.490428,0.490428,0.362081,0.362081,0.409869,0.499664,0.475305],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"Q9dc02E9SZ","event_id":"Q9dc02E9SZ","slug":"will-christopher-nolans-the-odyssey","question":"Will Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey gross over $112.5 Million in its domestic opening weekend?","group_item_title":null,"description":"YES: The 3-day domestic (U.S. and Canada) opening weekend gross (July 17–19, 2026) is strictly greater than $112.5 Million.\n\nNO: The gross is exactly $112.5 Million or less.\n\nData Source: Primary resolution will be based on the official weekend \"Actuals\" reported by Box Office Mojo. If BOM is unavailable  The Numbers will serve as the secondary source.\n\nTiming: The market will resolve as soon as official actuals are published (typically Monday, July 20, or Tuesday, July 21). Studio weekend estimates (released on Sunday) will not trigger resolution. HOWEVER if the BO estimate is signficantly above or below 112.5 million (by 10 million or more). then I will resolve on Sunday.  ","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.475305,0.524695],"probability":0.475305,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T06:31:07.406000Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5137.95838954898,"volume_24hr":2588.1485127650094,"prob_24h_change":0.005689,"volume_24h_change":932.4477099744549,"normalized_vol_24hr":66.44967651367188,"normalized_volume":27.38986587524414,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T21:40:13.271035Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T21:38:56.331546Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T12:46:32.789314Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/ShaneBo/will-christopher-nolans-the-odyssey","event_title":"Will Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey gross over $112.5 Million in its domestic opening weekend?","chart_24h":[0.469616,0.469616,0.469616,0.483899,0.490428,0.490428,0.362081,0.362081,0.409869,0.499664,0.475305]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/Q9dc02E9SZ","as_of":"2026-07-15T21:45:51.510327Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey gross over $112.5 Million in its domestic opening weekend?\" — top market at 48% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}