{"source":"manifold","id":"QAI25s2Iyn","ticker":null,"slug":"will-elon-musk-be-worth-more-than-1-0NP2np8IpE","title":"Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion, on June 12th, the IPO date of Spacex?","description":"This market will resolve based on Elon Musk's net worth as reported by Forbes and Bloomberg. \n\nIf both of these sources agree that Elon Musk has a net worth of greater than or equal to $1 trillion on June 12th this resolves Yes.\n\nThis market will include after market updates that happen before the beginning of the next trading day.\n\nReferences for resolution:\nElon Musk \n\nBloomberg - Are you a robot? ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-07T19:02:22.808000Z","end_date":"2026-06-13T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13734.786239435225,"volume_24hr":6923.092055410116,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.64676284790039,"normalized_volume":34.07613754272461,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.783146,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion, on June 12th, the IPO date of Spacex?","top_outcome_probability":0.783146,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.035255999999999954,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":602.8669954586458,"updated_at":"2026-06-11T21:11:24.051929Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T21:11:24.051929Z","added_at":"2026-06-11T14:37:06.577820Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/BillClintonBubba/will-elon-musk-be-worth-more-than-1-0NP2np8IpE","chart_24h":[0.74789,0.74789,0.758527,0.805086,0.813331,0.828426,0.834728,0.834728,0.743014],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"QAI25s2Iyn","event_id":"QAI25s2Iyn","slug":"will-elon-musk-be-worth-more-than-1-0NP2np8IpE","question":"Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion, on June 12th, the IPO date of Spacex?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve based on Elon Musk's net worth as reported by Forbes and Bloomberg. \n\nIf both of these sources agree that Elon Musk has a net worth of greater than or equal to $1 trillion on June 12th this resolves Yes.\n\nThis market will include after market updates that happen before the beginning of the next trading day.\n\nReferences for resolution:\nElon Musk \n\nBloomberg - Are you a robot? ","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.783146,0.216854],"probability":0.783146,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-07T19:02:22.808000Z","end_date":"2026-06-13T13:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13734.786239435225,"volume_24hr":6923.092055410116,"prob_24h_change":0.035255999999999954,"volume_24h_change":602.8669954586458,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.64676284790039,"normalized_volume":34.07613754272461,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T21:11:28.901929Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T21:10:42.965068Z","added_at":"2026-06-11T14:37:06.577820Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/BillClintonBubba/will-elon-musk-be-worth-more-than-1-0NP2np8IpE","event_title":"Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion, on June 12th, the IPO date of Spacex?","chart_24h":[0.74789,0.74789,0.758527,0.805086,0.813331,0.828426,0.834728,0.834728,0.743014]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/QAI25s2Iyn","as_of":"2026-06-11T21:23:15.725109Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion, on June 12th, the IPO date of Spacex?\" — top market at 78% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}