{"source":"manifold","id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","ticker":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":"who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","description":"Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election. Remember to bet \"Other\" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be. I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later\n\nResolves \"None\" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held. If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to \"None\".","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T16:14:02.254000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":260798.35047201393,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":58.323585510253906,"liquidity":20100.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":["us-politics","elections"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.220974,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T10:25:13.544804Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T10:25:13.544804Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"d617936d8968","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Other","group_item_title":"Other","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.220974,0.779026],"probability":0.220974,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T16:14:02.254000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":640.8865680540434,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.669833183288574,"liquidity":3329.042151611906,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974,0.220974]},{"source":"manifold","id":"28y0i7yx9e","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"JD Vance","group_item_title":"JD Vance","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.184358,0.815642],"probability":0.184358,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-12T11:46:08.579000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6765.214805785221,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.168474197387695,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358,0.184358]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dd9a984d5697","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Gavin Newsom","group_item_title":"Gavin Newsom","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.140971,0.859029],"probability":0.140971,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T16:21:42.394000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5626.446878319103,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.962268829345703,"liquidity":77.680431353897,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971,0.140971]},{"source":"manifold","id":"7224700ff88e","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","group_item_title":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.062841,0.937159],"probability":0.062841,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-26T14:27:13.814000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3183.660204533907,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.3968448638916,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841,0.062841]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b03d2116d169","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Kamala Harris","group_item_title":"Kamala Harris","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.035125,0.964875],"probability":0.035125,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T16:14:02.254000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3625.2658620926277,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.18870735168457,"liquidity":35.72172541558802,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125,0.035125]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b4a6d3ac3c97","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Pete Buttigieg","group_item_title":"Pete Buttigieg","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.034783,0.965217],"probability":0.034783,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T16:14:02.254000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1561.0608357379165,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.278013229370117,"liquidity":35.72172541558802,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783,0.034783]},{"source":"manifold","id":"1ad14e5f2f56","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Josh Shapiro","group_item_title":"Josh Shapiro","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.031402,0.968598],"probability":0.031402,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-28T19:24:58.690000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1912.6142036835347,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.41294288635254,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402,0.031402]},{"source":"manifold","id":"wrwmmvp50n","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Mark Kelly","group_item_title":"Mark Kelly","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.021783,0.978217],"probability":0.021783,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-18T18:41:46.415000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":265.0321167660482,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.690621376037598,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783,0.021783]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2ebc0ab3c1a7","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Tucker Carlson","group_item_title":"Tucker Carlson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.021498,0.978502],"probability":0.021498,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T14:41:39.195000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1122.2634117934467,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.500120162963867,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498,0.021498]},{"source":"manifold","id":"d4648a3f5882","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"JB Pritzker","group_item_title":"JB Pritzker","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.018567,0.981433],"probability":0.018567,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T20:27:14.963000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4348.1880257307075,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.318466186523438,"liquidity":91.44813173990464,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567,0.018567]},{"source":"manifold","id":"4206ef621fce","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Gretchen Whitmer","group_item_title":"Gretchen Whitmer","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.017433,0.982567],"probability":0.017433,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T16:14:02.254000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3446.589130122194,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.879087448120117,"liquidity":35.72172541558802,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433,0.017433]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b1a55fefd810","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Andy Beshear","group_item_title":"Andy Beshear","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.015769,0.984231],"probability":0.015769,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T18:19:49.248000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":156.97140114419182,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.609962463378906,"liquidity":176.5850539192371,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769,0.015769]},{"source":"manifold","id":"d475c480da36","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Ron DeSantis","group_item_title":"Ron DeSantis","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.015559,0.984441],"probability":0.015559,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T16:14:02.254000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":114.34794518631863,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.45316219329834,"liquidity":75.72172541558803,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559,0.015559]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ba2fff68dbe6","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Jamie Dimon","group_item_title":"Jamie Dimon","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.013898,0.986102],"probability":0.013898,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T14:37:07.109000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1000.3927347183736,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.90009117126465,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898,0.013898]},{"source":"manifold","id":"433450d2721b","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Donald Trump","group_item_title":"Donald Trump","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01278,0.98722],"probability":0.01278,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T16:14:02.254000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4346.143714565302,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.31551170349121,"liquidity":75.72172541558803,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278,0.01278]},{"source":"manifold","id":"xt8jzvyast","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Donald Trump Jr.","group_item_title":"Donald Trump Jr.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.011952,0.988048],"probability":0.011952,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-25T19:21:31.111000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3.9248682719881494,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.9531145691871643,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952,0.011952]},{"source":"manifold","id":"bb528565d79a","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Nikki Haley","group_item_title":"Nikki Haley","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.011817,0.988183],"probability":0.011817,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-24T15:45:56.656000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":154.231988819602,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.543662071228027,"liquidity":106.61203293497616,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817,0.011817]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9191d9eeabeb","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Michelle Obama","group_item_title":"Michelle Obama","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.011092,0.988908],"probability":0.011092,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-26T14:27:48.079000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1003.848757874945,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.91794776916504,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092,0.011092]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Spz0sUp02N","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Ruben Gallego","group_item_title":"Ruben Gallego","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.011068,0.988932],"probability":0.011068,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-07T18:07:24.688000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068,0.011068]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9242ae6029e0","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.","group_item_title":"Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.010891,0.989109],"probability":0.010891,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-18T13:11:49.033000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1242.4450870579747,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.039443969726562,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891,0.010891]},{"source":"manifold","id":"qh2qn0pyI0","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Mark Cuban","group_item_title":"Mark Cuban","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01056,0.98944],"probability":0.01056,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-07T16:42:20.067000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":681.7717605467137,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.970623970031738,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056,0.01056]},{"source":"manifold","id":"c11a23252b8c","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Tulsi Gabbard","group_item_title":"Tulsi Gabbard","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.008439,0.991561],"probability":0.008439,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-22T21:26:01.974000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.23101109527963715,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.01619747467339039,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439,0.008439]},{"source":"manifold","id":"QUAA8tURpn","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"John Fetterman","group_item_title":"John Fetterman","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.008084,0.991916],"probability":0.008084,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-07T15:33:14.720000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.2197108203404916,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.014791942201554775,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084,0.008084]},{"source":"manifold","id":"EsEP0OULEt","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Ro Khanna","group_item_title":"Ro Khanna","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00756,0.99244],"probability":0.00756,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-15T11:17:51.206000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.287702002753953,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.00740385055542,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756,0.00756]},{"source":"manifold","id":"20be464319f2","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"None","group_item_title":"None","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.007427,0.992573],"probability":0.007427,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T16:14:02.254000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4.732694006451197,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.1433709859848022,"liquidity":35.72172541558802,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427,0.007427]},{"source":"manifold","id":"e1596b5d96f4","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Elizabeth Warren","group_item_title":"Elizabeth Warren","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.006476,0.993524],"probability":0.006476,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T21:39:54.939000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21.185066758562584,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.602193593978882,"liquidity":68.22406586995231,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476,0.006476]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a873e8f9f190","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Ted Cruz","group_item_title":"Ted Cruz","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00552,0.99448],"probability":0.00552,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-26T11:50:36.888000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.1560895442962646,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552,0.00552]},{"source":"manifold","id":"t5kf1gjt8v","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Tim Walz","group_item_title":"Tim Walz","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.005451,0.994549],"probability":0.005451,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-04T14:07:33.873000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":84.28122285049326,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.412015914916992,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451,0.005451]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2a8898e65536","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Elise Stefanik","group_item_title":"Elise Stefanik","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.003572,0.996428],"probability":0.003572,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-18T13:10:08.138000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572,0.003572]},{"source":"manifold","id":"yn5m5s1r5p","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Glenn Youngkin","group_item_title":"Glenn Youngkin","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.003225,0.996775],"probability":0.003225,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-25T19:17:27.183000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225,0.003225]},{"source":"manifold","id":"66f3dcec1057","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Patrick Stewart","group_item_title":"Patrick Stewart","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002959,0.997041],"probability":0.002959,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T14:38:18.738000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.1560895442962646,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959,0.002959]},{"source":"manifold","id":"fb9b44311b87","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Vivek Ramaswamy","group_item_title":"Vivek Ramaswamy","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002653,0.997347],"probability":0.002653,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T16:19:25.418000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":110.36086270779401,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653,0.002653]},{"source":"manifold","id":"3f3829ffb888","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson","group_item_title":"Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002338,0.997662],"probability":0.002338,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-23T07:59:26.562000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.203831672668457,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338,0.002338]},{"source":"manifold","id":"61e2d988fbc7","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Mike Johnson","group_item_title":"Mike Johnson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001678,0.998322],"probability":0.001678,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-26T10:48:32.964000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13.349835378642318,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.660660982131958,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678,0.001678]},{"source":"manifold","id":"09fb69341bf0","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Nicole Shanahan","group_item_title":"Nicole Shanahan","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001668,0.998332],"probability":0.001668,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-17T11:31:51.576000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668,0.001668]},{"source":"manifold","id":"99SgQpIIzz","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Joe Rogan","group_item_title":"Joe Rogan","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001132,0.998868],"probability":0.001132,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-07T18:19:36.018000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132,0.001132]},{"source":"manifold","id":"229b096393c3","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Mike Pence","group_item_title":"Mike Pence","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001094,0.998906],"probability":0.001094,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-26T11:51:40.502000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094,0.001094]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5dUS89gCtu","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Barack Obama","group_item_title":"Barack Obama","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001069,0.998931],"probability":0.001069,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-07T16:27:13.238000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.868776863897665,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.14660918712615967,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069,0.001069]},{"source":"manifold","id":"qcdSgAzLRR","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Oprah Winfrey","group_item_title":"Oprah Winfrey","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001031,0.998969],"probability":0.001031,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-07T16:41:49.331000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031,0.001031]},{"source":"manifold","id":"1ef8cd61bc24","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Sam Altman","group_item_title":"Sam Altman","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001001,0.998999],"probability":0.001001,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-28T20:49:29.509000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001,0.001001]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8645a6c2fc44","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Steven Pinker","group_item_title":"Steven Pinker","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000987,0.999013],"probability":0.000987,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T14:38:01.971000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.203831672668457,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987,0.000987]},{"source":"manifold","id":"llp5ads10x","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Doug Burgum","group_item_title":"Doug Burgum","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000958,0.999042],"probability":0.000958,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-12T11:46:29.673000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958,0.000958]},{"source":"manifold","id":"024281514073","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Jared Polis","group_item_title":"Jared Polis","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000954,0.999046],"probability":0.000954,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-26T11:52:40.525000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954,0.000954]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9a3f8cefcaef","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Tim Scott","group_item_title":"Tim Scott","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000909,0.999091],"probability":0.000909,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T16:49:00.021000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":68.17010783847425,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909,0.000909]},{"source":"manifold","id":"fd9823c5a4f1","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Kristi Noem","group_item_title":"Kristi Noem","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000908,0.999092],"probability":0.000908,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-18T13:10:38.741000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908,0.000908]},{"source":"manifold","id":"843acf807771","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Elon Musk","group_item_title":"Elon Musk","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000894,0.999106],"probability":0.000894,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-28T20:48:57.772000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894,0.000894]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9c788a823f09","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"George Clooney","group_item_title":"George Clooney","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000853,0.999147],"probability":0.000853,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T14:37:23.775000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853,0.000853]},{"source":"manifold","id":"32d3a3b3b8f6","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Greg Abbott","group_item_title":"Greg Abbott","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000757,0.999243],"probability":0.000757,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T18:21:08.074000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":57.89626347980928,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757,0.000757]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Cc6ZP8PSOu","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Hillary Clinton","group_item_title":"Hillary Clinton","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0007,0.9993],"probability":0.0007,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-07T16:56:08.865000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007,0.0007]},{"source":"manifold","id":"902b33725b48","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"George R R Martin","group_item_title":"George R R Martin","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00066,0.99934],"probability":0.00066,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T14:38:38.234000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066,0.00066]},{"source":"manifold","id":"72f0ful266","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Jeff Jackson","group_item_title":"Jeff Jackson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000627,0.999373],"probability":0.000627,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-12T12:33:20.628000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2.0041867137363987,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.45372965931892395,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627,0.000627]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5c828c303bb8","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Katie Hobbs","group_item_title":"Katie Hobbs","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000568,0.999432],"probability":0.000568,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T18:19:58.088000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":90.79252695961856,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568,0.000568]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cf93761e5a48","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Tom Hanks","group_item_title":"Tom Hanks","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00054,0.99946],"probability":0.00054,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T14:37:33.800000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054,0.00054]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6c195adea4fa","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Joe Biden","group_item_title":"Joe Biden","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000517,0.999483],"probability":0.000517,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T16:39:14.656000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":151.3402156769485,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517,0.000517]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ac141c62a241","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Ivanka Trump","group_item_title":"Ivanka Trump","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000516,0.999484],"probability":0.000516,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-28T19:27:27.403000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2.451868468237649,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.5755590200424194,"liquidity":85.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516,0.000516]},{"source":"manifold","id":"h8lmvtjvdg","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Kanye West","group_item_title":"Kanye West","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000301,0.999699],"probability":0.000301,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-10T17:21:45.731000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301,0.000301]},{"source":"manifold","id":"7147836043c9","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Aella","group_item_title":"Aella","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000215,0.999785],"probability":0.000215,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T14:36:49.145000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215,0.000215]},{"source":"manifold","id":"19fdd0f1bf1e","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Noah Smith","group_item_title":"Noah Smith","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000167,0.999833],"probability":0.000167,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T14:39:17.906000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167,0.000167]},{"source":"manifold","id":"05dd1838c779","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Matt Yglesias","group_item_title":"Matt Yglesias","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000162,0.999838],"probability":0.000162,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T14:39:28.160000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162,0.000162]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a97f403645a9","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Eliezer Yudkowsky","group_item_title":"Eliezer Yudkowsky","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000158,0.999842],"probability":0.000158,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T14:36:40.106000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158,0.000158]},{"source":"manifold","id":"57c7da247bb3","event_id":"QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","slug":null,"question":"Scott Alexander","group_item_title":"Scott Alexander","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000152,0.999848],"probability":0.000152,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T14:36:17.155000Z","end_date":"2029-02-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11.999999999989996,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.466970443725586,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:12:49.139533Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237","event_title":"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152,0.000152]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37","as_of":"2026-07-25T18:13:40.179980Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?\" — top market at 22% probability across 61 outcomes","source_url":null}}