{"source":"manifold","id":"QcS2GP6QnwbPTxcqL3su","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-next-president-of-the-unit-d748870d920b","title":"Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]","description":"The next President of the United States will be inaugurated on 25 January 2025. Will he or she die while in an office?\n\nThis resolves yes if they die in an office.\n\nDictionary definition:\n\na room, set of rooms, or building used as a place for commercial, professional, or bureaucratic work.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/TimothyBandors/269b82e5c3ae.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-05-22T04:25:51.238000Z","end_date":"2030-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30332.641415777103,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.98080062866211,"liquidity":2000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.147383,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]","top_outcome_probability":0.147383,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Bandors/will-the-next-president-of-the-unit-d748870d920b","chart_24h":[0.147383,0.147383],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"QcS2GP6QnwbPTxcqL3su","event_id":"QcS2GP6QnwbPTxcqL3su","slug":"will-the-next-president-of-the-unit-d748870d920b","question":"Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]","group_item_title":null,"description":"The next President of the United States will be inaugurated on 25 January 2025. Will he or she die while in an office?\n\nThis resolves yes if they die in an office.\n\nDictionary definition:\n\na room, set of rooms, or building used as a place for commercial, professional, or bureaucratic work.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/TimothyBandors/269b82e5c3ae.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.147383,0.852617],"probability":0.147383,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-05-22T04:25:51.238000Z","end_date":"2030-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30332.641415777103,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.98080062866211,"liquidity":2000.0,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:43.497510Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Bandors/will-the-next-president-of-the-unit-d748870d920b","event_title":"Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]","chart_24h":[0.147383,0.147383]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/QcS2GP6QnwbPTxcqL3su","as_of":"2026-06-10T13:11:02.284681Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]\" — top market at 15% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}