{"source":"manifold","id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","ticker":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":"who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","description":"Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Democratic National Convention in 2028\n\nResolves to \"None\" if no one is nominated or if their is no convention. If for some reason the convention is postponed then this market resolves to whoever is nominated in the postponed convention. Unless the \"postponed\" convention takes place in or after 2032, in which case it resolves \"None\"\n\nRemember to bet for \"Other\". Any shares held in \"Other\" give you free shares for answers subsequently added","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-19T23:47:06.468000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2187717.210576684,"volume_24hr":156.20697069240367,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.87008285522461,"normalized_volume":79.89999389648438,"liquidity":29376.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["politics-default","us-politics","2028-us-presidential-election-6tdsp26zly"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gavin Newsom","top_outcome_probability":0.212681,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.00035200000000001896,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-05T08:24:37.254026Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T08:24:37.254026Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","chart_24h":[774.5129042087415,894.9948074406256,861.5389073854599,886.5865102900282,897.2639748459794,861.2639748459794,360.2639748459794,156.20697069240367],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"e2ba1ba5183c","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","group_item_title":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.157473,0.842527],"probability":0.157473,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-01T15:31:25.529000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":93586.53662238298,"volume_24hr":12.409443610871676,"prob_24h_change":0.005559000000000008,"volume_24h_change":-18.801917077682447,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.72855281829834,"normalized_volume":49.124149322509766,"liquidity":133.11380958951418,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:17.338123Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.151914,0.151914,0.151914,0.151914,0.151914,0.151914,0.151914,0.151914,0.151914,0.157675,0.157675,0.157675,0.157675,0.154207,0.157473,0.157473,0.157473,0.157473,0.157473,0.157473,0.157473,0.157473,0.157473,0.157473,0.157473,0.157473,0.157473]},{"source":"manifold","id":"11f5513b2a5a","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Jon Ossoff","group_item_title":"Jon Ossoff","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.140508,0.859492],"probability":0.140508,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-17T19:05:00.449000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20144.46954594166,"volume_24hr":133.87213582090044,"prob_24h_change":-0.005158999999999997,"volume_24h_change":131.6275964542874,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.584259033203125,"normalized_volume":36.825592041015625,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:17.338123Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.145667,0.145667,0.145667,0.145667,0.145667,0.145667,0.145667,0.145667,0.145667,0.130755,0.130755,0.130755,0.130755,0.142158,0.140508,0.140508,0.140508,0.140508,0.140508,0.140508,0.140508,0.140508,0.140508,0.140508,0.140508,0.140508,0.140508]},{"source":"manifold","id":"f0745c5b4d42","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Roy Cooper","group_item_title":"Roy Cooper","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001755,0.998245],"probability":0.001755,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-21T16:45:01.852000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":152.30694742577674,"volume_24hr":9.925391260627293,"prob_24h_change":-0.001971,"volume_24h_change":9.925391260627293,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.556833267211914,"normalized_volume":9.495014190673828,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:17.338123Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.003726,0.003726,0.003726,0.003726,0.003726,0.003726,0.003726,0.003726,0.003726,0.00178,0.00178,0.00178,0.00178,0.001759,0.001755,0.001755,0.001755,0.001755,0.001755,0.001755,0.001755,0.001755,0.001755,0.001755,0.001755,0.001755,0.001755]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a1f4a2a47e9f","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Gavin Newsom","group_item_title":"Gavin Newsom","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.212681,0.787319],"probability":0.212681,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-19T23:47:06.469000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":263777.69310726726,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00035200000000001896,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":58.420684814453125,"liquidity":1913.5410196624969,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.212329,0.212329,0.212329,0.212329,0.212329,0.212329,0.212329,0.212329,0.212329,0.214794,0.214794,0.214794,0.214794,0.213041,0.212681,0.212681,0.212681,0.212681,0.212681,0.212681,0.212681,0.212681,0.212681,0.212681,0.212681,0.212681,0.212681]},{"source":"manifold","id":"134141970aca","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Other","group_item_title":"Other","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.127174,0.872826],"probability":0.127174,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-19T23:47:06.469000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14926.272046036891,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000125000000000014,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.63141632080078,"liquidity":5405.908036599558,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.127049,0.127049,0.127049,0.127049,0.127049,0.127049,0.127049,0.127049,0.127049,0.127924,0.127924,0.127924,0.127924,0.127302,0.127174,0.127174,0.127174,0.127174,0.127174,0.127174,0.127174,0.127174,0.127174,0.127174,0.127174,0.127174,0.127174]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ecaa604e4ba5","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Pete Buttigieg","group_item_title":"Pete Buttigieg","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.055593,0.944407],"probability":0.055593,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-19T23:47:06.469000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27582.400927291852,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00015099999999999836,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.19783401489258,"liquidity":33.54101966249685,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.055442,0.055442,0.055442,0.055442,0.055442,0.055442,0.055442,0.055442,0.055442,0.056503,0.056503,0.056503,0.056503,0.055747,0.055593,0.055593,0.055593,0.055593,0.055593,0.055593,0.055593,0.055593,0.055593,0.055593,0.055593,0.055593,0.055593]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8a283ef26127","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Kamala Harris","group_item_title":"Kamala Harris","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.050582,0.949418],"probability":0.050582,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-19T23:47:06.469000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":111313.61390515884,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0000940000000000038,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":50.624290466308594,"liquidity":83.54101966249685,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.050488,0.050488,0.050488,0.050488,0.050488,0.050488,0.050488,0.050488,0.050488,0.051146,0.051146,0.051146,0.051146,0.050678,0.050582,0.050582,0.050582,0.050582,0.050582,0.050582,0.050582,0.050582,0.050582,0.050582,0.050582,0.050582,0.050582]},{"source":"manifold","id":"378d18b5bb24","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Josh Shapiro","group_item_title":"Josh Shapiro","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.042995,0.957005],"probability":0.042995,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-01T14:44:35.852000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15254.817755988879,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00013200000000000017,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.788490295410156,"liquidity":121.22761917902832,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.042863,0.042863,0.042863,0.042863,0.042863,0.042863,0.042863,0.042863,0.042863,0.043793,0.043793,0.043793,0.043793,0.04313,0.042995,0.042995,0.042995,0.042995,0.042995,0.042995,0.042995,0.042995,0.042995,0.042995,0.042995,0.042995,0.042995]},{"source":"manifold","id":"1e1e093f4980","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Andy Beshear","group_item_title":"Andy Beshear","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.034249,0.965751],"probability":0.034249,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-21T16:32:30.281000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4067.480633105173,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00019500000000000073,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.896865844726562,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.034054,0.034054,0.034054,0.034054,0.034054,0.034054,0.034054,0.034054,0.034054,0.035446,0.035446,0.035446,0.035446,0.034449,0.034249,0.034249,0.034249,0.034249,0.034249,0.034249,0.034249,0.034249,0.034249,0.034249,0.034249,0.034249,0.034249]},{"source":"manifold","id":"4382ad86415","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Mark Kelly","group_item_title":"Mark Kelly","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.027821,0.972179],"probability":0.027821,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-07T03:03:55.427000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14100.801627257459,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00015999999999999695,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.222660064697266,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.027661,0.027661,0.027661,0.027661,0.027661,0.027661,0.027661,0.027661,0.027661,0.028806,0.028806,0.028806,0.028806,0.027987,0.027821,0.027821,0.027821,0.027821,0.027821,0.027821,0.027821,0.027821,0.027821,0.027821,0.027821,0.027821,0.027821]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5b17e4e1c499","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"J.B. Pritzker","group_item_title":"J.B. Pritzker","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.026268,0.973732],"probability":0.026268,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-20T01:00:30.115000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5841.077229032183,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00007700000000000068,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.20076560974121,"liquidity":42.135254915624216,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.026191,0.026191,0.026191,0.026191,0.026191,0.026191,0.026191,0.026191,0.026191,0.026738,0.026738,0.026738,0.026738,0.026348,0.026268,0.026268,0.026268,0.026268,0.026268,0.026268,0.026268,0.026268,0.026268,0.026268,0.026268,0.026268,0.026268]},{"source":"manifold","id":"38d6e5ee25ec","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Gretchen Whitmer","group_item_title":"Gretchen Whitmer","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01816,0.98184],"probability":0.01816,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-19T23:47:06.469000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4667.609192796902,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000019999999999999185,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.761425018310547,"liquidity":53.54101966249685,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.01814,0.01814,0.01814,0.01814,0.01814,0.01814,0.01814,0.01814,0.01814,0.018284,0.018284,0.018284,0.018284,0.018181,0.01816,0.01816,0.01816,0.01816,0.01816,0.01816,0.01816,0.01816,0.01816,0.01816,0.01816,0.01816,0.01816]},{"source":"manifold","id":"aa4c69ab332d","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Hunter Biden","group_item_title":"Hunter Biden","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.012596,0.987404],"probability":0.012596,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-06T20:14:42.484000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":935.8514033573599,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00007500000000000041,"volume_24h_change":-741.0570041535757,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.55378532409668,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.012521,0.012521,0.012521,0.012521,0.012521,0.012521,0.012521,0.012521,0.012521,0.013064,0.013064,0.013064,0.013064,0.012675,0.012596,0.012596,0.012596,0.012596,0.012596,0.012596,0.012596,0.012596,0.012596,0.012596,0.012596,0.012596,0.012596]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dedba99127a6","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Raphael Warnock","group_item_title":"Raphael Warnock","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.012255,0.987745],"probability":0.012255,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-17T19:04:22.460000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":791.0254375219117,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00002599999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.702739715576172,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.012229,0.012229,0.012229,0.012229,0.012229,0.012229,0.012229,0.012229,0.012229,0.012412,0.012412,0.012412,0.012412,0.012282,0.012255,0.012255,0.012255,0.012255,0.012255,0.012255,0.012255,0.012255,0.012255,0.012255,0.012255,0.012255,0.012255]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b5ee1a12079d","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Ro Khanna","group_item_title":"Ro Khanna","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.007165,0.992835],"probability":0.007165,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-03T19:02:02.156000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1567.7344142225431,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000020000000000000052,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.29833984375,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.007145,0.007145,0.007145,0.007145,0.007145,0.007145,0.007145,0.007145,0.007145,0.007288,0.007288,0.007288,0.007288,0.007186,0.007165,0.007165,0.007165,0.007165,0.007165,0.007165,0.007165,0.007165,0.007165,0.007165,0.007165,0.007165,0.007165]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b8f39d8286de","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Cory Booker","group_item_title":"Cory Booker","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.006948,0.993052],"probability":0.006948,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-21T16:43:46.898000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1193.3754353491036,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00001600000000000039,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.821931838989258,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.006932,0.006932,0.006932,0.006932,0.006932,0.006932,0.006932,0.006932,0.006932,0.007047,0.007047,0.007047,0.007047,0.006965,0.006948,0.006948,0.006948,0.006948,0.006948,0.006948,0.006948,0.006948,0.006948,0.006948,0.006948,0.006948,0.006948]},{"source":"manifold","id":"459b2a6d46dd","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Wes Moore","group_item_title":"Wes Moore","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.006792,0.993208],"probability":0.006792,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-08T01:38:20.776000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":894.9708798683815,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00002300000000000045,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.325613021850586,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.006769,0.006769,0.006769,0.006769,0.006769,0.006769,0.006769,0.006769,0.006769,0.006932,0.006932,0.006932,0.006932,0.006816,0.006792,0.006792,0.006792,0.006792,0.006792,0.006792,0.006792,0.006792,0.006792,0.006792,0.006792,0.006792,0.006792]},{"source":"manifold","id":"65b7a5aad5d0","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Michelle Obama","group_item_title":"Michelle Obama","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.006269,0.993731],"probability":0.006269,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-24T21:43:56.487000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8631.638354265857,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000011999999999999858,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.797203063964844,"liquidity":229.91047671611327,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.006257,0.006257,0.006257,0.006257,0.006257,0.006257,0.006257,0.006257,0.006257,0.006346,0.006346,0.006346,0.006346,0.006282,0.006269,0.006269,0.006269,0.006269,0.006269,0.006269,0.006269,0.006269,0.006269,0.006269,0.006269,0.006269,0.006269]},{"source":"manifold","id":"UZ5yEl8z09","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Ruben Gallego","group_item_title":"Ruben Gallego","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.005592,0.994408],"probability":0.005592,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-15T11:14:39.144000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2412.303962850503,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000010999999999999725,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.74436378479004,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.005581,0.005581,0.005581,0.005581,0.005581,0.005581,0.005581,0.005581,0.005581,0.005659,0.005659,0.005659,0.005659,0.005603,0.005592,0.005592,0.005592,0.005592,0.005592,0.005592,0.005592,0.005592,0.005592,0.005592,0.005592,0.005592,0.005592]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9c71ea599897","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Jon Stewart","group_item_title":"Jon Stewart","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.004136,0.995864],"probability":0.004136,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-02T04:48:20.599000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":654.2663041880605,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00001299999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.76752758026123,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.004123,0.004123,0.004123,0.004123,0.004123,0.004123,0.004123,0.004123,0.004123,0.004215,0.004215,0.004215,0.004215,0.00415,0.004136,0.004136,0.004136,0.004136,0.004136,0.004136,0.004136,0.004136,0.004136,0.004136,0.004136,0.004136,0.004136]},{"source":"manifold","id":"QNhRLzLLyE","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Stephen A Smith","group_item_title":"Stephen A Smith","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.003472,0.996528],"probability":0.003472,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-07T19:07:14.713000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6218.347533058168,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":6.999999999999628e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.609195709228516,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.003465,0.003465,0.003465,0.003465,0.003465,0.003465,0.003465,0.003465,0.003465,0.003512,0.003512,0.003512,0.003512,0.003479,0.003472,0.003472,0.003472,0.003472,0.003472,0.003472,0.003472,0.003472,0.003472,0.003472,0.003472,0.003472,0.003472]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ece946c3ff5f","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Amy Klobuchar","group_item_title":"Amy Klobuchar","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.003431,0.996569],"probability":0.003431,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-01T14:28:53.556000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":333.8897430247832,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":4.000000000000097e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.67238712310791,"liquidity":217.45523835805665,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.003427,0.003427,0.003427,0.003427,0.003427,0.003427,0.003427,0.003427,0.003427,0.003457,0.003457,0.003457,0.003457,0.003436,0.003431,0.003431,0.003431,0.003431,0.003431,0.003431,0.003431,0.003431,0.003431,0.003431,0.003431,0.003431,0.003431]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2963feebc79b","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Bernie Sanders","group_item_title":"Bernie Sanders","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002593,0.997407],"probability":0.002593,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-06T15:18:51.198000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1216.4830376640216,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":6.999999999999628e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.92387580871582,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.002586,0.002586,0.002586,0.002586,0.002586,0.002586,0.002586,0.002586,0.002586,0.002638,0.002638,0.002638,0.002638,0.002601,0.002593,0.002593,0.002593,0.002593,0.002593,0.002593,0.002593,0.002593,0.002593,0.002593,0.002593,0.002593,0.002593]},{"source":"manifold","id":"e6370e2ceb3e","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Mark Cuban","group_item_title":"Mark Cuban","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002389,0.997611],"probability":0.002389,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-08T19:39:12.137000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2647.39349530201,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":5.00000000000023e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.290498733520508,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.002384,0.002384,0.002384,0.002384,0.002384,0.002384,0.002384,0.002384,0.002384,0.002419,0.002419,0.002419,0.002419,0.002394,0.002389,0.002389,0.002389,0.002389,0.002389,0.002389,0.002389,0.002389,0.002389,0.002389,0.002389,0.002389,0.002389]},{"source":"manifold","id":"f9104baab472","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Hakeem Jeffries ","group_item_title":"Hakeem Jeffries ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002245,0.997755],"probability":0.002245,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-08T14:35:37.846000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":93.00651403901244,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":2.9999999999999645e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.739147663116455,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.002242,0.002242,0.002242,0.002242,0.002242,0.002242,0.002242,0.002242,0.002242,0.002266,0.002266,0.002266,0.002266,0.002249,0.002245,0.002245,0.002245,0.002245,0.002245,0.002245,0.002245,0.002245,0.002245,0.002245,0.002245,0.002245,0.002245]},{"source":"manifold","id":"1bc22d58d57c","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Sherrod Brown","group_item_title":"Sherrod Brown","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001657,0.998343],"probability":0.001657,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-17T09:54:14.904000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":51.5263273722735,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":2.9999999999999645e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.883241653442383,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.001654,0.001654,0.001654,0.001654,0.001654,0.001654,0.001654,0.001654,0.001654,0.00168,0.00168,0.00168,0.00168,0.001661,0.001657,0.001657,0.001657,0.001657,0.001657,0.001657,0.001657,0.001657,0.001657,0.001657,0.001657,0.001657,0.001657]},{"source":"manifold","id":"O8I8EdtuNp","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Marie Gluesenkamp Perez","group_item_title":"Marie Gluesenkamp Perez","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001438,0.998562],"probability":0.001438,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-15T11:15:48.946000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":62.87459490877495,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":1.0000000000001327e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.47860860824585,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001447,0.001447,0.001447,0.001447,0.00144,0.001438,0.001438,0.001438,0.001438,0.001438,0.001438,0.001438,0.001438,0.001438,0.001438,0.001438,0.001438,0.001438]},{"source":"manifold","id":"d36845713241","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Tim Walz","group_item_title":"Tim Walz","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001431,0.998569],"probability":0.001431,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-24T18:00:22.580000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1627.7835269867837,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":2.9999999999999645e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.506122589111328,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.001428,0.001428,0.001428,0.001428,0.001428,0.001428,0.001428,0.001428,0.001428,0.001449,0.001449,0.001449,0.001449,0.001434,0.001431,0.001431,0.001431,0.001431,0.001431,0.001431,0.001431,0.001431,0.001431,0.001431,0.001431,0.001431,0.001431]},{"source":"manifold","id":"f61a9c4bf73b","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Elizabeth Warren","group_item_title":"Elizabeth Warren","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001413,0.998587],"probability":0.001413,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-08T01:30:45.575000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":71.93656331265784,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":2.9999999999999645e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.89873743057251,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.00141,0.00141,0.00141,0.00141,0.00141,0.00141,0.00141,0.00141,0.00141,0.001429,0.001429,0.001429,0.001429,0.001416,0.001413,0.001413,0.001413,0.001413,0.001413,0.001413,0.001413,0.001413,0.001413,0.001413,0.001413,0.001413,0.001413]},{"source":"manifold","id":"04e9c3bfd14e","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Chris Murphy","group_item_title":"Chris Murphy","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001405,0.998595],"probability":0.001405,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-18T03:39:55.456000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":217.94100890537027,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":2.0000000000000486e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.887359619140625,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.001403,0.001403,0.001403,0.001403,0.001403,0.001403,0.001403,0.001403,0.001403,0.001421,0.001421,0.001421,0.001421,0.001408,0.001405,0.001405,0.001405,0.001405,0.001405,0.001405,0.001405,0.001405,0.001405,0.001405,0.001405,0.001405,0.001405]},{"source":"manifold","id":"170bbe115339","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Jared Polis","group_item_title":"Jared Polis","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001337,0.998663],"probability":0.001337,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-20T02:21:39.627000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3544.1300698867744,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.045869827270508,"liquidity":54.82095343222652,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001343,0.001343,0.001343,0.001343,0.001338,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337,0.001337]},{"source":"manifold","id":"52ec763f6524","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"None","group_item_title":"None","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001266,0.998734],"probability":0.001266,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-19T23:47:06.469000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1018.2168904150574,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":3.99999999999988e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.988794326782227,"liquidity":33.54101966249685,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001287,0.001287,0.001287,0.001287,0.001269,0.001266,0.001266,0.001266,0.001266,0.001266,0.001266,0.001266,0.001266,0.001266,0.001266,0.001266,0.001266,0.001266]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ce4e5248ede7","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Scott Wiener","group_item_title":"Scott Wiener","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001223,0.998777],"probability":0.001223,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-06T02:56:25.715000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":59.62131210552111,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":2.9999999999999645e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.316689968109131,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.00122,0.00122,0.00122,0.00122,0.00122,0.00122,0.00122,0.00122,0.00122,0.001237,0.001237,0.001237,0.001237,0.001225,0.001223,0.001223,0.001223,0.001223,0.001223,0.001223,0.001223,0.001223,0.001223,0.001223,0.001223,0.001223,0.001223]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a8665bd0b621","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Jeff Jackson","group_item_title":"Jeff Jackson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000942,0.999058],"probability":0.000942,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-20T02:17:49.395000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":53.957854348407366,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":2.0000000000000486e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.018424034118652,"liquidity":64.64190686445303,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.00094,0.00094,0.00094,0.00094,0.00094,0.00094,0.00094,0.00094,0.00094,0.000951,0.000951,0.000951,0.000951,0.000943,0.000942,0.000942,0.000942,0.000942,0.000942,0.000942,0.000942,0.000942,0.000942,0.000942,0.000942,0.000942,0.000942]},{"source":"manifold","id":"fbe81645e4f1","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Tammy Duckworth","group_item_title":"Tammy Duckworth","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00093,0.99907],"probability":0.00093,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-07T03:03:23.287000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":69.39827050237568,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":1.0000000000000243e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.785274982452393,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000929,0.000929,0.000929,0.000929,0.000929,0.000929,0.000929,0.000929,0.000929,0.000938,0.000938,0.000938,0.000938,0.000931,0.00093,0.00093,0.00093,0.00093,0.00093,0.00093,0.00093,0.00093,0.00093,0.00093,0.00093,0.00093,0.00093]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b98d5905d43c","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Brian Schatz","group_item_title":"Brian Schatz","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000926,0.999074],"probability":0.000926,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-18T04:13:22.250000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":725.7660308964998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":9.999999999999159e-7,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.275148391723633,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000925,0.000925,0.000925,0.000925,0.000925,0.000925,0.000925,0.000925,0.000925,0.000935,0.000935,0.000935,0.000935,0.000928,0.000926,0.000926,0.000926,0.000926,0.000926,0.000926,0.000926,0.000926,0.000926,0.000926,0.000926,0.000926,0.000926]},{"source":"manifold","id":"01ba94063428","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Hillary Clinton","group_item_title":"Hillary Clinton","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00086,0.99914],"probability":0.00086,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-20T01:49:37.972000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18.74585308113241,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":1.99999999999994e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.3360159397125244,"liquidity":43.56762745781211,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000858,0.000858,0.000858,0.000858,0.000858,0.000858,0.000858,0.000858,0.000858,0.000867,0.000867,0.000867,0.000867,0.000861,0.00086,0.00086,0.00086,0.00086,0.00086,0.00086,0.00086,0.00086,0.00086,0.00086,0.00086,0.00086,0.00086]},{"source":"manifold","id":"e6e76c871943","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Chuck Schumer","group_item_title":"Chuck Schumer","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000777,0.999223],"probability":0.000777,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-25T01:26:29.453000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16.629325792208604,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":2.0000000000000486e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.087235927581787,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000775,0.000775,0.000775,0.000775,0.000775,0.000775,0.000775,0.000775,0.000775,0.000786,0.000786,0.000786,0.000786,0.000778,0.000777,0.000777,0.000777,0.000777,0.000777,0.000777,0.000777,0.000777,0.000777,0.000777,0.000777,0.000777,0.000777]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0e78cfeab5a9","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Andrew Yang","group_item_title":"Andrew Yang","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000763,0.999237],"probability":0.000763,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-17T07:17:40.389000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.684994201679984,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":1.0000000000000243e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.134730339050293,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000762,0.000762,0.000762,0.000762,0.000762,0.000762,0.000762,0.000762,0.000762,0.000768,0.000768,0.000768,0.000768,0.000764,0.000763,0.000763,0.000763,0.000763,0.000763,0.000763,0.000763,0.000763,0.000763,0.000763,0.000763,0.000763,0.000763]},{"source":"manifold","id":"7016d363effd","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Dwayne Johnson","group_item_title":"Dwayne Johnson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000735,0.999265],"probability":0.000735,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-08T01:40:35.914000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":82.3238739864554,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":1.0000000000000243e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.333645343780518,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000734,0.000734,0.000734,0.000734,0.000734,0.000734,0.000734,0.000734,0.000734,0.00074,0.00074,0.00074,0.00074,0.000736,0.000735,0.000735,0.000735,0.000735,0.000735,0.000735,0.000735,0.000735,0.000735,0.000735,0.000735,0.000735,0.000735]},{"source":"manifold","id":"89107bcef259","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Gina Raimondo","group_item_title":"Gina Raimondo","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000676,0.999324],"probability":0.000676,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-05T21:13:50.266000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":54.7399622113644,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":9.999999999999159e-7,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.0609517097473145,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000675,0.000675,0.000675,0.000675,0.000675,0.000675,0.000675,0.000675,0.000675,0.000681,0.000681,0.000681,0.000681,0.000677,0.000676,0.000676,0.000676,0.000676,0.000676,0.000676,0.000676,0.000676,0.000676,0.000676,0.000676,0.000676,0.000676]},{"source":"manifold","id":"630a2ed66d17","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Joe Biden","group_item_title":"Joe Biden","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000673,0.999327],"probability":0.000673,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-20T02:08:25.385000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17.59248697028734,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":1.0000000000000243e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.202754497528076,"liquidity":84.28381372890605,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000672,0.000672,0.000672,0.000672,0.000672,0.000672,0.000672,0.000672,0.000672,0.000675,0.000675,0.000675,0.000675,0.000673,0.000673,0.000673,0.000673,0.000673,0.000673,0.000673,0.000673,0.000673,0.000673,0.000673,0.000673,0.000673,0.000673]},{"source":"manifold","id":"926d761c5f8e","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Dean Phillips","group_item_title":"Dean Phillips","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000607,0.999393],"probability":0.000607,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-18T14:12:40.407000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29.49213259442213,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.378719806671143,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000612,0.000612,0.000612,0.000612,0.000608,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607,0.000607]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8bcc96b877c0","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Taylor Swift","group_item_title":"Taylor Swift","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000596,0.999404],"probability":0.000596,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-08T07:31:01.621000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.051386833569744,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":9.999999999999159e-7,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.4807543754577637,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000595,0.000595,0.000595,0.000595,0.000595,0.000595,0.000595,0.000595,0.000595,0.0006,0.0006,0.0006,0.0006,0.000596,0.000596,0.000596,0.000596,0.000596,0.000596,0.000596,0.000596,0.000596,0.000596,0.000596,0.000596,0.000596,0.000596]},{"source":"manifold","id":"1fda1b9ce4b0","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Beto O'Rourke","group_item_title":"Beto O'Rourke","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000587,0.999413],"probability":0.000587,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-05T22:57:01.331000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":42.46339526893007,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.334120273590088,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000592,0.000592,0.000592,0.000592,0.000588,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b2dd3c1f1ae7","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"John Fetterman","group_item_title":"John Fetterman","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000587,0.999413],"probability":0.000587,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-20T00:59:01.222000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.098580763704824,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":9.999999999999159e-7,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.501903533935547,"liquidity":59.270509831248425,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000586,0.000586,0.000586,0.000586,0.000586,0.000586,0.000586,0.000586,0.000586,0.00059,0.00059,0.00059,0.00059,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587,0.000587]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9bf55410ddbe","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Stacey Abrams","group_item_title":"Stacey Abrams","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000544,0.999456],"probability":0.000544,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-12-28T03:31:06.601000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15.767174141361465,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":1.0000000000000243e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.980290174484253,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000543,0.000543,0.000543,0.000543,0.000543,0.000543,0.000543,0.000543,0.000543,0.000548,0.000548,0.000548,0.000548,0.000544,0.000544,0.000544,0.000544,0.000544,0.000544,0.000544,0.000544,0.000544,0.000544,0.000544,0.000544,0.000544,0.000544]},{"source":"manifold","id":"e922435c4d3f","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Kathy Hochul","group_item_title":"Kathy Hochul","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000538,0.999462],"probability":0.000538,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-30T12:12:17.045000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":65.49304103041887,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":9.999999999999159e-7,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.6044416427612305,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000537,0.000537,0.000537,0.000537,0.000537,0.000537,0.000537,0.000537,0.000537,0.000542,0.000542,0.000542,0.000542,0.000539,0.000538,0.000538,0.000538,0.000538,0.000538,0.000538,0.000538,0.000538,0.000538,0.000538,0.000538,0.000538,0.000538]},{"source":"manifold","id":"78c93d9bef33","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Jamie Raskin","group_item_title":"Jamie Raskin","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000533,0.999467],"probability":0.000533,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-09T22:45:26.949000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.410935466631145,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":1.0000000000000243e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.356584072113037,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000532,0.000532,0.000532,0.000532,0.000532,0.000532,0.000532,0.000532,0.000532,0.000537,0.000537,0.000537,0.000537,0.000533,0.000533,0.000533,0.000533,0.000533,0.000533,0.000533,0.000533,0.000533,0.000533,0.000533,0.000533,0.000533,0.000533]},{"source":"manifold","id":"85839ca68c8d","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Mitch Landrieu","group_item_title":"Mitch Landrieu","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00051,0.99949],"probability":0.00051,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-21T16:44:50.761000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12.228804726154252,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":1.0000000000000243e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.5002529621124268,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000509,0.000509,0.000509,0.000509,0.000509,0.000509,0.000509,0.000509,0.000509,0.000515,0.000515,0.000515,0.000515,0.000511,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051]},{"source":"manifold","id":"3761ec651218","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Joe Manchin","group_item_title":"Joe Manchin","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000448,0.999552],"probability":0.000448,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-10T19:32:08.899000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19.349455644518684,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.40370512008667,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000451,0.000451,0.000451,0.000451,0.000449,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448,0.000448]},{"source":"manifold","id":"847fd5657b48","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Michael Bloomberg","group_item_title":"Michael Bloomberg","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000437,0.999563],"probability":0.000437,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-08T01:31:33.042000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14.027985538324883,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.75327205657959,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000441,0.000441,0.000441,0.000441,0.000438,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437,0.000437]},{"source":"manifold","id":"542b8c2c7227","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Anthony Blinken","group_item_title":"Anthony Blinken","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000416,0.999584],"probability":0.000416,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-05T19:25:08.634000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":601.0301237989497,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.358179092407227,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000418,0.000418,0.000418,0.000418,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416,0.000416]},{"source":"manifold","id":"03a9887e8549","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Merrick Garland","group_item_title":"Merrick Garland","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000412,0.999588],"probability":0.000412,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-06T22:01:30.173000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14.750854983778492,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.8495638370513916,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000415,0.000415,0.000415,0.000415,0.000413,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412,0.000412]},{"source":"manifold","id":"fc4ccce9bdc8","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Jay Inslee","group_item_title":"Jay Inslee","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000339,0.999661],"probability":0.000339,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-19T04:46:29.352000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9.587358695495553,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":1.0000000000000243e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.0875513553619385,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000338,0.000338,0.000338,0.000338,0.000338,0.000338,0.000338,0.000338,0.000338,0.000341,0.000341,0.000341,0.000341,0.000339,0.000339,0.000339,0.000339,0.000339,0.000339,0.000339,0.000339,0.000339,0.000339,0.000339,0.000339,0.000339,0.000339]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ac81b723f4a0","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Tammy Baldwin","group_item_title":"Tammy Baldwin","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000335,0.999665],"probability":0.000335,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-08T09:20:14.185000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16.453126950694923,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.065659761428833,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000337,0.000337,0.000337,0.000337,0.000336,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335]},{"source":"manifold","id":"fd09bb0eba63","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Bob Ferguson","group_item_title":"Bob Ferguson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000334,0.999666],"probability":0.000334,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-19T04:45:46.667000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8.293506390212045,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.8632935285568237,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000336,0.000336,0.000336,0.000336,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334,0.000334]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dbe5b3ab3a97","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Katie Porter","group_item_title":"Katie Porter","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000333,0.999667],"probability":0.000333,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-08T19:26:08.943000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12.795476092171157,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.582132339477539,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000335,0.000334,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333,0.000333]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a14836c03cc6","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Susan Rice","group_item_title":"Susan Rice","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000321,0.999679],"probability":0.000321,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-05T20:18:23.649000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13.194873779394314,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.6385998725891113,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000323,0.000323,0.000323,0.000323,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321,0.000321]},{"source":"manifold","id":"be8c3f775b96","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Donald Trump","group_item_title":"Donald Trump","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00031,0.99969],"probability":0.00031,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-06T02:58:57.012000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6719.545584384463,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":1.0000000000000243e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.11911392211914,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000309,0.000309,0.000309,0.000309,0.000309,0.000309,0.000309,0.000309,0.000309,0.000311,0.000311,0.000311,0.000311,0.00031,0.00031,0.00031,0.00031,0.00031,0.00031,0.00031,0.00031,0.00031,0.00031,0.00031,0.00031,0.00031,0.00031]},{"source":"manifold","id":"4c72d923b98b","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Tim Kaine","group_item_title":"Tim Kaine","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000271,0.999729],"probability":0.000271,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-05T15:42:49.296000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19.920428210069716,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.4665114879608154,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000272,0.000272,0.000272,0.000272,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271,0.000271]},{"source":"manifold","id":"fcfa17f71d93","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Phil Murphy","group_item_title":"Phil Murphy","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000252,0.999748],"probability":0.000252,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-08T19:28:47.340000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21.766057824463132,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.6619577407836914,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000253,0.000253,0.000253,0.000253,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252,0.000252]},{"source":"manifold","id":"7e0895d9a63","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Sam Altman","group_item_title":"Sam Altman","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000223,0.999777],"probability":0.000223,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-06T02:59:25.387000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":298.23546288151005,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.186395645141602,"liquidity":85.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000224,0.000224,0.000224,0.000224,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223,0.000223]},{"source":"manifold","id":"7eb7954ca741","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Robert F. Kennedy Jr.","group_item_title":"Robert F. Kennedy Jr.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000217,0.999783],"probability":0.000217,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-08T01:29:54.435000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.254387175928926,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.197054386138916,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000218,0.000218,0.000218,0.000218,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217,0.000217]},{"source":"manifold","id":"4a74066fee23","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Cenk Uygur","group_item_title":"Cenk Uygur","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0002,0.9998],"probability":0.0002,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-08T19:30:59.651000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8.427163881968227,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.8872398138046265,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.000201,0.000201,0.000201,0.000201,0.000201,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002,0.0002]},{"source":"manifold","id":"c9098c006b72","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"John Bel Edwards","group_item_title":"John Bel Edwards","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00018,0.99982],"probability":0.00018,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-18T04:14:52.552000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6.496649139689907,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.5214359760284424,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.000181,0.000181,0.000181,0.000181,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018,0.00018]},{"source":"manifold","id":"64ad84765130","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Jeff Merkley","group_item_title":"Jeff Merkley","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000084,0.999916],"probability":0.000084,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-06T12:10:43.686000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3.2147475178753666,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.7759110331535339,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8d4721507326","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"[Duplicate - Invalid]","group_item_title":"[Duplicate - Invalid]","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000084,0.999916],"probability":0.000084,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-08T14:22:08.390000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2.280742494284552,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.5292025804519653,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084,0.000084]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b6d687d8c724","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Nina Turner","group_item_title":"Nina Turner","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000076,0.999924],"probability":0.000076,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-12-28T07:22:54.022000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3.2998794923314563,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.7976322770118713,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076,0.000076]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8a5f9e1f8f77","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"john smith","group_item_title":"john smith","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000069,0.999931],"probability":0.000069,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-02T01:26:21.753000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3.9260053802699986,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.953240692615509,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069,0.000069]},{"source":"manifold","id":"3716599074a5","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Alex Jones","group_item_title":"Alex Jones","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000067,0.999933],"probability":0.000067,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-07T00:41:11.199000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.1761806793250364,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.22668279707431793,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067,0.000067]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2043f130ebfb","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Steven Kenneth \"Destiny\" Bonnell II","group_item_title":"Steven Kenneth \"Destiny\" Bonnell II","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000064,0.999936],"probability":0.000064,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-17T17:27:14.217000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.2656557973736722,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.25078439712524414,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064,0.000064]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9802ae7f9efa","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Vermin Supreme","group_item_title":"Vermin Supreme","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000059,0.999941],"probability":0.000059,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-06T16:17:58.449000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.2240581906247237,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.23954886198043823,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059,0.000059]},{"source":"manifold","id":"c4a244e19552","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Invalid answer","group_item_title":"Invalid answer","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000052,0.999948],"probability":0.000052,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-07T00:38:57.078000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.1901766293676301,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":9.999999999999972e-7,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.2304360568523407,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052,0.000052]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a93b4c830144","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Clark Duke","group_item_title":"Clark Duke","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000051,0.999949],"probability":0.000051,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-23T10:08:01.049000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.15325194323668256,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.007622372359037399,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051,0.000051]},{"source":"manifold","id":"614a8f70476e","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Duplicate ignore","group_item_title":"Duplicate ignore","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000049,0.999951],"probability":0.000049,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-03T20:28:46.778000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.1813001043025197,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.22805488109588623,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049,0.000049]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0ad16e68eb1d","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Dianne Feinstein","group_item_title":"Dianne Feinstein","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000048,0.999952],"probability":0.000048,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-24T11:32:34.972000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.208303187126787,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.23530681431293488,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048]},{"source":"manifold","id":"c7884f1ad887","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Jimmy Carter","group_item_title":"Jimmy Carter","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000048,0.999952],"probability":0.000048,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-24T12:24:12.779000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.1951873664924093,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.23178140819072723,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048,0.000048]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5db4492bcf00","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Bob Roberston the IV","group_item_title":"Bob Roberston the IV","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000042,0.999958],"probability":0.000042,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-07T00:44:15.383000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.17500692789528216,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.009751400910317898,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b2e32cbda53d","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"John Jacob","group_item_title":"John Jacob","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000042,0.999958],"probability":0.000042,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-07T00:39:32.778000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.1528981576891718,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.007589603774249554,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042,0.000042]},{"source":"manifold","id":"101e04440bca","event_id":"R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","slug":null,"question":"Ron Desantis","group_item_title":"Ron Desantis","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00004,0.99996],"probability":0.00004,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-05T22:21:02.552000Z","end_date":"2029-02-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.1722627339537604,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.009470692835748196,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T15:36:25.175618Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T15:34:48.603636Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf","event_title":"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.000041,0.000041,0.000041,0.000041,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004,0.00004]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/R6PEvCwbEKdg74kB1lQT","as_of":"2026-08-05T15:39:10.347688Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?\" — top market at 14% probability across 81 outcomes","source_url":null}}