{"source":"manifold","id":"RqCuspq8Nn","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-next-full-gemini-model-be","title":"Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?","description":"resolves to my impression a week or two after launch and I've had the opportunity to try it out. Flash/instant/mini doesn't count. Should be pro or similar. 3.2 pro-preview, 3.5 pro, 4 pro all okay\n","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T01:01:15.315000Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8256.946817527913,"volume_24hr":976.9067377650556,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":56.33865737915039,"normalized_volume":30.51566505432129,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":["google-gemini","ai-model-releases","technology-default","ai"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.7653,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?","top_outcome_probability":0.7653,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.046431,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":876.9067377650556,"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:07:44.455278Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:07:44.455278Z","added_at":"2026-07-05T21:32:45.858899Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/ian/will-the-next-full-gemini-model-be","chart_24h":[0.718869,0.718869,0.718869,0.718869,0.718869,0.718869,0.718869,0.718869,0.718869,0.787068,0.787068,0.787068,0.787068,0.787068,0.787068,0.787068,0.787068,0.787068,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"RqCuspq8Nn","event_id":"RqCuspq8Nn","slug":"will-the-next-full-gemini-model-be","question":"Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?","group_item_title":null,"description":"resolves to my impression a week or two after launch and I've had the opportunity to try it out. Flash/instant/mini doesn't count. Should be pro or similar. 3.2 pro-preview, 3.5 pro, 4 pro all okay\n","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.7653,0.2347],"probability":0.7653,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T01:01:15.315000Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8256.946817527913,"volume_24hr":976.9067377650556,"prob_24h_change":0.046431,"volume_24h_change":876.9067377650556,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.44480895996094,"normalized_volume":30.51566505432129,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:07:15.487101Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:07:15.487101Z","added_at":"2026-07-05T21:32:45.858899Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/ian/will-the-next-full-gemini-model-be","event_title":"Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?","chart_24h":[0.718869,0.718869,0.718869,0.718869,0.718869,0.718869,0.718869,0.718869,0.718869,0.787068,0.787068,0.787068,0.787068,0.787068,0.787068,0.787068,0.787068,0.787068,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653,0.7653]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/RqCuspq8Nn","as_of":"2026-07-11T03:18:48.849792Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?\" — top market at 77% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}