{"source":"manifold","id":"S569q22Puc","ticker":null,"slug":"will-trump-restrict-porn","title":"Will Trump restrict porn?","description":"Context: Donald Trump's Election Win Could Lead to Porn Being Banned\n\nWill Trump (or his government) take actions to ban or restrict porn consumption in the US?\n\nIf I’m not able to view pornhub.com (or another leading porn site of the day, if PH goes down 😉) as an anonymous internet denizen with a US IP address nationwide, this Resolves YES.\n\nAny actions taken by individual states here will not count.\n\nAn incomplete list of things that would count for a YES resolution (please suggest more in the comments):\n\nRequiring IDs to view pornographic content.\n\nRequiring business to get government confirmation/approval to show explicit content (a supply-side restriction).\n\nBanning internet pornography","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/mattyb/zsdLCzSQzn.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-07T14:45:36.805000Z","end_date":"2029-01-16T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12159.161433478324,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.21195983886719,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.140635,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Trump restrict porn?","top_outcome_probability":0.140635,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/mattyb/will-trump-restrict-porn","chart_24h":[0.140635,0.140635],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"S569q22Puc","event_id":"S569q22Puc","slug":"will-trump-restrict-porn","question":"Will Trump restrict porn?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Context: Donald Trump's Election Win Could Lead to Porn Being Banned\n\nWill Trump (or his government) take actions to ban or restrict porn consumption in the US?\n\nIf I’m not able to view pornhub.com (or another leading porn site of the day, if PH goes down 😉) as an anonymous internet denizen with a US IP address nationwide, this Resolves YES.\n\nAny actions taken by individual states here will not count.\n\nAn incomplete list of things that would count for a YES resolution (please suggest more in the comments):\n\nRequiring IDs to view pornographic content.\n\nRequiring business to get government confirmation/approval to show explicit content (a supply-side restriction).\n\nBanning internet pornography","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/mattyb/zsdLCzSQzn.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.140635,0.859365],"probability":0.140635,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-07T14:45:36.805000Z","end_date":"2029-01-16T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12159.161433478324,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.21195983886719,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/mattyb/will-trump-restrict-porn","event_title":"Will Trump restrict porn?","chart_24h":[0.140635,0.140635]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/S569q22Puc","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:33:34.720587Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Trump restrict porn?\" — top market at 14% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}