{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/S9AEccnOlL","as_of":"2026-10-16T04:27:09.016250Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026\" — 2% as of 2026-10-16 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/S9AEccnOlL","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/jgyou/us-federal-government-announces-del"},"source":"manifold","id":"S9AEccnOlL","ticker":null,"slug":"us-federal-government-announces-del","title":"U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026","description":"This market will resolve YES if any official U.S. federal government body or authorized representative announces a delay or suspension of the 2026 midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Resolution source: Official statements from the Federal Election Commission (www.fec.gov) or Congressional Record (www.congress.gov).\n\nBackground The U.S. midterm elections are constitutionally mandated and scheduled for November 3, 2026. Federal elections have never been delayed or suspended in U.S. history, including during the Civil War, World War II, and the COVID-19 pandemic.\n\nResolution Criteria \n\nMarket resolves YES if any of the following occur before November 3, 2026:\n\nThe Federal Election Commission (FEC) issues an official statement announcing a delay or suspension of the 2026 midterm elections\n\nCongress passes legislation that is signed into law delaying or suspending the elections\n\nA Presidential executive order or emergency declaration explicitly delays or suspends the elections\n\nAny other official federal government body with proper authority announces a delay or suspension\n\nMarket resolves NO if:\n\nNo such announcement is made before November 3, 2026\n\nState or local governments attempt to delay elections without federal authority\n\nOfficials merely discuss or propose delays without formal action\n\nThe elections proceed as scheduled on November 3, 2026\n\n","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/jgyou/I9QQPzs9Sq.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-04T02:18:54.718000Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":62252.415054552235,"volume_24hr":8900.532211590626,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":90.17943572998047,"normalized_volume":44.83588409423828,"liquidity":5000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":["united-states","us-politics","trumps-second-term","2026-midterms","us-democracy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.019851,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.019851,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-16T04:13:24.026186Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T04:13:24.026186Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T23:44:35.123672Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/jgyou/us-federal-government-announces-del","chart_24h":[0.019851,0.019851,0.019851,0.019851,0.019851,0.019851,0.019851],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"S9AEccnOlL","event_id":"S9AEccnOlL","slug":"us-federal-government-announces-del","question":"U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve YES if any official U.S. federal government body or authorized representative announces a delay or suspension of the 2026 midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Resolution source: Official statements from the Federal Election Commission (www.fec.gov) or Congressional Record (www.congress.gov).\n\nBackground The U.S. midterm elections are constitutionally mandated and scheduled for November 3, 2026. Federal elections have never been delayed or suspended in U.S. history, including during the Civil War, World War II, and the COVID-19 pandemic.\n\nResolution Criteria \n\nMarket resolves YES if any of the following occur before November 3, 2026:\n\nThe Federal Election Commission (FEC) issues an official statement announcing a delay or suspension of the 2026 midterm elections\n\nCongress passes legislation that is signed into law delaying or suspending the elections\n\nA Presidential executive order or emergency declaration explicitly delays or suspends the elections\n\nAny other official federal government body with proper authority announces a delay or suspension\n\nMarket resolves NO if:\n\nNo such announcement is made before November 3, 2026\n\nState or local governments attempt to delay elections without federal authority\n\nOfficials merely discuss or propose delays without formal action\n\nThe elections proceed as scheduled on November 3, 2026\n\n","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/jgyou/I9QQPzs9Sq.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.019851,0.980149],"probability":0.019851,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-04T02:18:54.718000Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":62252.415054552235,"volume_24hr":8900.532211590626,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":93.20995330810547,"normalized_volume":44.83588409423828,"liquidity":5000.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T04:12:40.393116Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T04:12:40.393116Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T23:44:35.123672Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/jgyou/us-federal-government-announces-del","event_title":"U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026","chart_24h":[0.019851,0.019851,0.019851,0.019851,0.019851,0.019851,0.019851]}]}