{"source":"manifold","id":"SKsmhLrWp1cWnXS6fKc2","ticker":null,"slug":"president-of-usa-has-orgasm-on-live","title":"President of USA has orgasm on live TV before 2035","description":"Any live video medium will be sufficient, it does not need to be TV.\n\nIf deepfakes become common, then the video feed has to come from a reputable source. \n\n[Related: https://manifold.markets/mr22222222/us-president-tv-orgasm-market-7-for]\n\nUpdate 2024-26-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications to Resolution Criteria:\n\nThe act must be broadcast live, meaning it occurs and is transmitted simultaneously, not previously recorded.\n\nRecorded content shown on a live broadcast does not count, as the act was not performed live.\n\nLive broadcasts on platforms such as Twitch or during a Zoom meeting qualify if the act occurs live and is transmitted in real-time.\n\nThe live video does not need to be publicly available on the internet; as long as it is from a reputable source, it qualifies even if not openly accessible.\n\nUpdate 2025-04-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * The act must be perceived as a public act, not occurring during a private call (e.g., a one-on-one Facetime call).\n\nA Zoom meeting implies a context beyond a simple private video call and could qualify if the act occurs live and is broadcast.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-06T05:24:47.414000Z","end_date":"2035-01-01T15:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16625.75841220953,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.94464874267578,"liquidity":1360.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.036786,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"President of USA has orgasm on live TV before 2035","top_outcome_probability":0.036786,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-07T13:06:24.081374Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T13:06:24.081374Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/HarrisonLucas/president-of-usa-has-orgasm-on-live","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"SKsmhLrWp1cWnXS6fKc2","event_id":"SKsmhLrWp1cWnXS6fKc2","slug":"president-of-usa-has-orgasm-on-live","question":"President of USA has orgasm on live TV before 2035","group_item_title":null,"description":"Any live video medium will be sufficient, it does not need to be TV.\n\nIf deepfakes become common, then the video feed has to come from a reputable source. \n\n[Related: https://manifold.markets/mr22222222/us-president-tv-orgasm-market-7-for]\n\nUpdate 2024-26-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications to Resolution Criteria:\n\nThe act must be broadcast live, meaning it occurs and is transmitted simultaneously, not previously recorded.\n\nRecorded content shown on a live broadcast does not count, as the act was not performed live.\n\nLive broadcasts on platforms such as Twitch or during a Zoom meeting qualify if the act occurs live and is transmitted in real-time.\n\nThe live video does not need to be publicly available on the internet; as long as it is from a reputable source, it qualifies even if not openly accessible.\n\nUpdate 2025-04-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * The act must be perceived as a public act, not occurring during a private call (e.g., a one-on-one Facetime call).\n\nA Zoom meeting implies a context beyond a simple private video call and could qualify if the act occurs live and is broadcast.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.036786,0.963214],"probability":0.036786,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-06T05:24:47.414000Z","end_date":"2035-01-01T15:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16625.75841220953,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.94464874267578,"liquidity":1360.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T18:56:40.901644Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T13:04:07.159547Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/HarrisonLucas/president-of-usa-has-orgasm-on-live","event_title":"President of USA has orgasm on live TV before 2035","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/SKsmhLrWp1cWnXS6fKc2","as_of":"2026-09-19T03:24:28.845711Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"President of USA has orgasm on live TV before 2035\" — top market at 4% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}