{"source":"manifold","id":"SUn5KJHmEYE8uQptdSXZ","ticker":null,"slug":"will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-8dae5a22f504","title":"Will a human walk on the moon again before 2033?","description":"Resolves YES if a human sets foot on the moon after 2000 but before 2033.\n\nI keep an ordered list of human moon landing markets here:\n@/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again \n\n\nSee also:\n\n@/Mqrius/will-spacexs-hls-uncrewed-demo-laun \n\n@/Mqrius/will-two-starships-dock-in-orbit-be-4762f93e6882 \n\nArtemis 2 timeline: @/Mqrius/will-artemis-ii-launch-before-2026 ","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FQ0hLPT5yQ1.png?alt=media&token=cbc9f7dc-7698-49e3-9ce2-4738ee60b20d","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-04-10T18:45:08.311000Z","end_date":"2032-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10970.509694396518,"volume_24hr":10.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.037386655807495,"normalized_volume":32.48918914794922,"liquidity":1195.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.87108,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will a human walk on the moon again before 2033?","top_outcome_probability":0.87108,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0008989999999999831,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:27:15.585455Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:27:15.585455Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-8dae5a22f504","chart_24h":[0.870181,0.870181,0.87108],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"SUn5KJHmEYE8uQptdSXZ","event_id":"SUn5KJHmEYE8uQptdSXZ","slug":"will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-8dae5a22f504","question":"Will a human walk on the moon again before 2033?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves YES if a human sets foot on the moon after 2000 but before 2033.\n\nI keep an ordered list of human moon landing markets here:\n@/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again \n\n\nSee also:\n\n@/Mqrius/will-spacexs-hls-uncrewed-demo-laun \n\n@/Mqrius/will-two-starships-dock-in-orbit-be-4762f93e6882 \n\nArtemis 2 timeline: @/Mqrius/will-artemis-ii-launch-before-2026 ","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FQ0hLPT5yQ1.png?alt=media&token=cbc9f7dc-7698-49e3-9ce2-4738ee60b20d","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.87108,0.12892],"probability":0.87108,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-04-10T18:45:08.311000Z","end_date":"2032-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10970.509694396518,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0008989999999999831,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.037386655807495,"normalized_volume":32.48918914794922,"liquidity":1195.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:27:19.178494Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:26:32.621239Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-8dae5a22f504","event_title":"Will a human walk on the moon again before 2033?","chart_24h":[0.870181,0.870181,0.87108]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/SUn5KJHmEYE8uQptdSXZ","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:31:19.794633Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will a human walk on the moon again before 2033?\" — top market at 87% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}