{"source":"manifold","id":"SZsB1qAWRIePvv49d51f","ticker":null,"slug":"if-trump-wins-will-he-appoint-anoth","title":"If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?","description":"This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027. Only a justice who is confirmed by the Senate counts.\n\nIf Donald Trump is not re-elected, this market resolves N/A.\n\nMay differ from the same Biden conditional market due to different probabilities of also controlling the Senate and strategically timed retirements. See here for the market on if Biden wins:\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-she-appoint-ano)","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-10T00:19:53.794000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34739.70628000703,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":41.03887176513672,"liquidity":6965.5,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.567911,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.567911,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/cantankerous/if-trump-wins-will-he-appoint-anoth","chart_24h":[0.567911,0.567911],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"SZsB1qAWRIePvv49d51f","event_id":"SZsB1qAWRIePvv49d51f","slug":"if-trump-wins-will-he-appoint-anoth","question":"If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027. Only a justice who is confirmed by the Senate counts.\n\nIf Donald Trump is not re-elected, this market resolves N/A.\n\nMay differ from the same Biden conditional market due to different probabilities of also controlling the Senate and strategically timed retirements. See here for the market on if Biden wins:\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-she-appoint-ano)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.567911,0.432089],"probability":0.567911,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-10T00:19:53.794000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34739.70628000703,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":41.03887176513672,"liquidity":6965.5,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:36:25.491276Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-25T15:02:34.426094Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/cantankerous/if-trump-wins-will-he-appoint-anoth","event_title":"If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.567911,0.567911]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/SZsB1qAWRIePvv49d51f","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:27:18.734438Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?\" — top market at 57% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}