{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/SZsB1qAWRIePvv49d51f","as_of":"2026-10-24T03:02:18.362944Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?\" — 15% as of 2026-10-11 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/SZsB1qAWRIePvv49d51f","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/cantankerous/if-trump-wins-will-he-appoint-anoth"},"source":"manifold","id":"SZsB1qAWRIePvv49d51f","ticker":null,"slug":"if-trump-wins-will-he-appoint-anoth","title":"If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?","description":"This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027. Only a justice who is confirmed by the Senate counts.\n\nIf Donald Trump is not re-elected, this market resolves N/A.\n\nMay differ from the same Biden conditional market due to different probabilities of also controlling the Senate and strategically timed retirements. See here for the market on if Biden wins:\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-she-appoint-ano)","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-10T00:19:53.794000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":55518.469547385044,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":43.90296936035156,"liquidity":6965.5,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.147305,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.147305,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-11T19:52:16.955104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T19:52:16.955104Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/cantankerous/if-trump-wins-will-he-appoint-anoth","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"SZsB1qAWRIePvv49d51f","event_id":"SZsB1qAWRIePvv49d51f","slug":"if-trump-wins-will-he-appoint-anoth","question":"If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027. Only a justice who is confirmed by the Senate counts.\n\nIf Donald Trump is not re-elected, this market resolves N/A.\n\nMay differ from the same Biden conditional market due to different probabilities of also controlling the Senate and strategically timed retirements. See here for the market on if Biden wins:\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-she-appoint-ano)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.147305,0.852695],"probability":0.147305,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-10T00:19:53.794000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":55518.469547385044,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":43.90296936035156,"liquidity":6965.5,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T19:49:49.508553Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T19:49:49.508553Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/cantankerous/if-trump-wins-will-he-appoint-anoth","event_title":"If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?","chart_24h":null}]}