{"source":"manifold","id":"ShncZEzc9Z","ticker":null,"slug":"if-the-us-strikes-iran-by-march-31","title":"If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?","description":"Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve N/A if the US does not strike Iran before April 1, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-15T15:13:46.598000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4326.636782986841,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.30987548828125,"liquidity":100.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.074844,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.074844,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-16T02:46:53.184659Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T02:46:53.184659Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/if-the-us-strikes-iran-by-march-31","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"ShncZEzc9Z","event_id":"ShncZEzc9Z","slug":"if-the-us-strikes-iran-by-march-31","question":"If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve N/A if the US does not strike Iran before April 1, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.074844,0.925156],"probability":0.074844,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-15T15:13:46.598000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4326.636782986841,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.30987548828125,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-17T01:53:41.691879Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T02:46:09.753701Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/if-the-us-strikes-iran-by-march-31","event_title":"If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/ShncZEzc9Z","as_of":"2026-06-17T04:48:40.048937Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?\" — top market at 7% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}