{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/SxITkheML0YNosIO5Q1h","as_of":"2026-10-24T04:12:12.810527Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?\" — 3% as of 2026-07-26 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/SxITkheML0YNosIO5Q1h","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/FranklinBaldo/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-appear-on-se"},"source":"manifold","id":"SxITkheML0YNosIO5Q1h","ticker":null,"slug":"will-eliezer-yudkowsky-appear-on-se","title":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?","description":"Eliezer Yudkowsky is an American writer and researcher on artificial intelligence and decision theory. \n\nSesame Street is a long-running educational children’s television series that features Muppets, animation, live action, and celebrity guests. This market resolves as YES if Eliezer Yudkowsky makes an appearance on Sesame Street (as himself or as a character) in any episode that airs before January 1st, 2030. It resolves as NO otherwise.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2Fq7drzcN-is.png?alt=media&token=ebb2de90-d6fa-4e58-9cc8-f8dccb412685","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-03-09T03:26:56.162000Z","end_date":"2029-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10851.77835040265,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.763364791870117,"liquidity":463.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.025663,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.025663,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-26T15:34:29.017242Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T15:34:29.017242Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/FranklinBaldo/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-appear-on-se","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"SxITkheML0YNosIO5Q1h","event_id":"SxITkheML0YNosIO5Q1h","slug":"will-eliezer-yudkowsky-appear-on-se","question":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Eliezer Yudkowsky is an American writer and researcher on artificial intelligence and decision theory. \n\nSesame Street is a long-running educational children’s television series that features Muppets, animation, live action, and celebrity guests. This market resolves as YES if Eliezer Yudkowsky makes an appearance on Sesame Street (as himself or as a character) in any episode that airs before January 1st, 2030. It resolves as NO otherwise.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2Fq7drzcN-is.png?alt=media&token=ebb2de90-d6fa-4e58-9cc8-f8dccb412685","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.025663,0.974337],"probability":0.025663,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-03-09T03:26:56.162000Z","end_date":"2029-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":10851.77835040265,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.763364791870117,"liquidity":463.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T10:19:15.387484Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T15:31:11.164358Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/FranklinBaldo/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-appear-on-se","event_title":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?","chart_24h":null}]}