{"source":"manifold","id":"SzUU8sptpd","ticker":null,"slug":"will-jd-vance-take-over-the-preside","title":"Will JD Vance take over the presidency from Donald Trump before the 2028 election?","description":"Resolves YES if Trump resigns/dies/etc. so that JD Vance officially takes over the presidential office before the 2028 election. (It is not sufficient for Vance to be acting president)\n\nOtherwise resolves NO.\n\nI won't bet on this market.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/zsig/IgqqCnNONU.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-06T20:01:20.315000Z","end_date":"2028-11-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40306.11390561452,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":42.213809967041016,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.187248,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will JD Vance take over the presidency from Donald Trump before the 2028 election?","top_outcome_probability":0.187248,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-06T05:07:51.689916Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T05:07:51.689916Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/zsig/will-jd-vance-take-over-the-preside","chart_24h":[0.187248,0.187248],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"SzUU8sptpd","event_id":"SzUU8sptpd","slug":"will-jd-vance-take-over-the-preside","question":"Will JD Vance take over the presidency from Donald Trump before the 2028 election?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves YES if Trump resigns/dies/etc. so that JD Vance officially takes over the presidential office before the 2028 election. (It is not sufficient for Vance to be acting president)\n\nOtherwise resolves NO.\n\nI won't bet on this market.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/zsig/IgqqCnNONU.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.187248,0.812752],"probability":0.187248,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-06T20:01:20.315000Z","end_date":"2028-11-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40306.11390561452,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":42.213809967041016,"liquidity":1500.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:36:25.491276Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T05:06:00.649699Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/zsig/will-jd-vance-take-over-the-preside","event_title":"Will JD Vance take over the presidency from Donald Trump before the 2028 election?","chart_24h":[0.187248,0.187248]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/SzUU8sptpd","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:35:21.085687Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will JD Vance take over the presidency from Donald Trump before the 2028 election?\" — top market at 19% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}