{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/ThigwIr2s731LbvAfopU","as_of":"2026-10-24T08:32:31.948123Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?\" — 19% as of 2026-09-02 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/ThigwIr2s731LbvAfopU","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/will-greenland-become-independent-f"},"source":"manifold","id":"ThigwIr2s731LbvAfopU","ticker":null,"slug":"will-greenland-become-independent-f","title":"Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?","description":"Resolves YES if Greenland becomes officially independent from Denmark before 2030. Resolves on independence actually coming into effect, not just on announcements or votes.\n\n\"Official\" means \"according to both Greenland and Danish governments\". If Greenland declares independence unilaterally, it will only count if and after Denmark acknowledges and makes it official from their end too.\n\nGreenland becoming a part of another country other than Denmark will also count.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/chrisjbillington%2F61a2b9b1b4db.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-30T21:55:34.587000Z","end_date":"2030-01-02T12:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14966.470018255866,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.993900299072266,"liquidity":2020.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.189959,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.189959,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-02T05:17:08.965489Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T05:17:08.965489Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/will-greenland-become-independent-f","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"ThigwIr2s731LbvAfopU","event_id":"ThigwIr2s731LbvAfopU","slug":"will-greenland-become-independent-f","question":"Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves YES if Greenland becomes officially independent from Denmark before 2030. Resolves on independence actually coming into effect, not just on announcements or votes.\n\n\"Official\" means \"according to both Greenland and Danish governments\". If Greenland declares independence unilaterally, it will only count if and after Denmark acknowledges and makes it official from their end too.\n\nGreenland becoming a part of another country other than Denmark will also count.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/chrisjbillington%2F61a2b9b1b4db.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.189959,0.810041],"probability":0.189959,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-30T21:55:34.587000Z","end_date":"2030-01-02T12:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":14966.470018255866,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.993900299072266,"liquidity":2020.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Greenland","Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T05:15:32.286013Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T05:15:32.286013Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/will-greenland-become-independent-f","event_title":"Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?","chart_24h":null}]}