{"source":"manifold","id":"UEEz9h0gyR","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-wti-crude-oil-spot-price-b-Cun2dLL5UZ","title":"Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $78.50 on August 11, 2026?","description":"\nThis market resolves to the official WTI Crude Oil Spot Price (Cushing, Oklahoma) for the date of August 11 , 2026,(EDIT) as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).\n\nResolution Details:\n\nPrimary Source: EIA Today in Energy - Daily Prices or FRED Series DCOILWTICO.\n\nSecondary Reference: https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cl.1 (shared for directional reference, this market does not resolve to this price)\n\nData Point: The \"Daily\" value listed for August 11\n\nTiming: Betting will close at 11:59 PM ET on August 11 but resolution will occur once the EIA publishes the data (typically the following morning).\n\nNote: This is the Spot Price, not the NYMEX Futures price. If the EIA does not report a price for this specific date (e.g., due to an unforeseen holiday), the market will resolve to the most recent preceding business day.\n\nStrictly more than not equal to","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T19:12:02.192000Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7014.963987671844,"volume_24hr":3226.494640683426,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":72.87003326416016,"normalized_volume":29.40247344970703,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["politics-default","economics-default","world-default"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.855732,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $78.50 on August 11, 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.855732,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.06477899999999992,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1076.226133482949,"updated_at":"2026-08-11T04:34:40.215174Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T04:34:40.215174Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T19:33:23.406432Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/ShaneBo/will-the-wti-crude-oil-spot-price-b-Cun2dLL5UZ","chart_24h":[0.920511,0.86093,0.86093,0.862363,0.862363,0.862363,0.872683,0.893857,0.85,0.855732],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"UEEz9h0gyR","event_id":"UEEz9h0gyR","slug":"will-the-wti-crude-oil-spot-price-b-Cun2dLL5UZ","question":"Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $78.50 on August 11, 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"\nThis market resolves to the official WTI Crude Oil Spot Price (Cushing, Oklahoma) for the date of August 11 , 2026,(EDIT) as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).\n\nResolution Details:\n\nPrimary Source: EIA Today in Energy - Daily Prices or FRED Series DCOILWTICO.\n\nSecondary Reference: https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cl.1 (shared for directional reference, this market does not resolve to this price)\n\nData Point: The \"Daily\" value listed for August 11\n\nTiming: Betting will close at 11:59 PM ET on August 11 but resolution will occur once the EIA publishes the data (typically the following morning).\n\nNote: This is the Spot Price, not the NYMEX Futures price. If the EIA does not report a price for this specific date (e.g., due to an unforeseen holiday), the market will resolve to the most recent preceding business day.\n\nStrictly more than not equal to","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.855732,0.144268],"probability":0.855732,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T19:12:02.192000Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7014.963987671844,"volume_24hr":3226.494640683426,"prob_24h_change":-0.06477899999999992,"volume_24h_change":1076.226133482949,"normalized_vol_24hr":72.87003326416016,"normalized_volume":29.40247344970703,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T04:33:42.031174Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T04:33:42.031174Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T19:33:23.406432Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/ShaneBo/will-the-wti-crude-oil-spot-price-b-Cun2dLL5UZ","event_title":"Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $78.50 on August 11, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.920511,0.86093,0.86093,0.862363,0.862363,0.862363,0.872683,0.893857,0.85,0.855732]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/UEEz9h0gyR","as_of":"2026-08-11T04:52:27.106179Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $78.50 on August 11, 2026?\" — top market at 86% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}