{"source":"manifold","id":"USpnpA6Idq","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-id-verification-requiremen","title":"Will the ID verification requirement for new users be reversed?","description":"Alongside the Prize Drawing announcement, Manifold has added a new identity verification system for new users. Users who don't provide ID and a selfie to pass the check (it uses the iDenfy API) are severely restricted. They apparently receive no starting mana and no quest bonuses, and they can't comment. This effectively makes the site unusable for anyone not willing to submit to the corporate panopticon. Existing users are grandfathered and not restricted.\n\nThese changes will be considered reversed if, without submitting to ID or selfie verification, new users:\n\nReceive the same starting mana as before, or at least the same as ID-checked users.\n\nReceive the same quest bonuses as before, or at least the same as ID-checked or grandfathered users.\n\nCan comment and create markets/polls/posts freely.\n\nAll of these criteria must be fulfilled before the closing date (3 months from the change announcement) to resolve YES. The market will resolve YES early if this happens. Otherwise, the market will resolve NO on the closing date.\n\nRestrictions on entry into the Prize Drawing, or restrictions on the referral system will not factor into the outcome of this market.\n\nI may bet on this market. If the outcome is disputed, I will nominate a panel of 3 moderators to decide by vote.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-09T04:21:03.953000Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12781.281944923325,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.563968658447266,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.113785,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the ID verification requirement for new users be reversed?","top_outcome_probability":0.113785,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-06T16:04:55.916929Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T16:04:55.916929Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/xjp/will-the-id-verification-requiremen","chart_24h":[0.113785,0.113785],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"USpnpA6Idq","event_id":"USpnpA6Idq","slug":"will-the-id-verification-requiremen","question":"Will the ID verification requirement for new users be reversed?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Alongside the Prize Drawing announcement, Manifold has added a new identity verification system for new users. Users who don't provide ID and a selfie to pass the check (it uses the iDenfy API) are severely restricted. They apparently receive no starting mana and no quest bonuses, and they can't comment. This effectively makes the site unusable for anyone not willing to submit to the corporate panopticon. Existing users are grandfathered and not restricted.\n\nThese changes will be considered reversed if, without submitting to ID or selfie verification, new users:\n\nReceive the same starting mana as before, or at least the same as ID-checked users.\n\nReceive the same quest bonuses as before, or at least the same as ID-checked or grandfathered users.\n\nCan comment and create markets/polls/posts freely.\n\nAll of these criteria must be fulfilled before the closing date (3 months from the change announcement) to resolve YES. The market will resolve YES early if this happens. Otherwise, the market will resolve NO on the closing date.\n\nRestrictions on entry into the Prize Drawing, or restrictions on the referral system will not factor into the outcome of this market.\n\nI may bet on this market. If the outcome is disputed, I will nominate a panel of 3 moderators to decide by vote.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.113785,0.886215],"probability":0.113785,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-09T04:21:03.953000Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12781.281944923325,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.563968658447266,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T15:46:23.651093Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T16:03:00.603905Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/xjp/will-the-id-verification-requiremen","event_title":"Will the ID verification requirement for new users be reversed?","chart_24h":[0.113785,0.113785]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/USpnpA6Idq","as_of":"2026-06-10T18:33:12.163917Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will the ID verification requirement for new users be reversed?\" — top market at 11% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}