{"source":"manifold","id":"UhdpqhALht","ticker":null,"slug":"will-a-humanoid-robot-set-foot-on-m","title":"Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?","description":"it has to take a step for it to count \n\nUpdate 2025-13-01 (PST): - If both humanoid robots and biological humans are part of the same mission, the market will resolve as 'yes' if the robots take a step before the humans. (AI summary of creator comment)\n\nUpdate 2025-16-01 (PST): - Humanoid robots with wheels for feet will count as setting foot if they take a step with their wheels or roll on them. (AI summary of creator comment)\n\nUpdate 2025-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market close date will be extended as necessary if the events determining the outcome (a humanoid robot or a biological human setting foot on Mars) have not occurred by the current close date.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/jim/OIQL05UhOQ.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-01T04:01:11.336000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T10:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20485.431609141287,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.997371673583984,"liquidity":2440.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.78,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?","top_outcome_probability":0.78,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/jim/will-a-humanoid-robot-set-foot-on-m","chart_24h":[0.78,0.78],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"UhdpqhALht","event_id":"UhdpqhALht","slug":"will-a-humanoid-robot-set-foot-on-m","question":"Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?","group_item_title":null,"description":"it has to take a step for it to count \n\nUpdate 2025-13-01 (PST): - If both humanoid robots and biological humans are part of the same mission, the market will resolve as 'yes' if the robots take a step before the humans. (AI summary of creator comment)\n\nUpdate 2025-16-01 (PST): - Humanoid robots with wheels for feet will count as setting foot if they take a step with their wheels or roll on them. (AI summary of creator comment)\n\nUpdate 2025-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market close date will be extended as necessary if the events determining the outcome (a humanoid robot or a biological human setting foot on Mars) have not occurred by the current close date.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/jim/OIQL05UhOQ.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.22],"probability":0.78,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-01T04:01:11.336000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T10:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20485.431609141287,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.997371673583984,"liquidity":2440.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/jim/will-a-humanoid-robot-set-foot-on-m","event_title":"Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?","chart_24h":[0.78,0.78]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/UhdpqhALht","as_of":"2026-06-10T13:55:39.910971Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?\" — top market at 78% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}