{"source":"manifold","id":"UsGRKNts2PP7147BAmAF","ticker":null,"slug":"will-vladimir-putin-still-be-alive","title":"Will Vladimir Putin still be alive at the beginning of 2030?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-01-05T18:58:10.962000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T08:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8743.518579819309,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.50718116760254,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.66305,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Vladimir Putin still be alive at the beginning of 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.66305,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-29T21:26:30.830259Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T21:26:30.830259Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-vladimir-putin-still-be-alive","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"UsGRKNts2PP7147BAmAF","event_id":"UsGRKNts2PP7147BAmAF","slug":"will-vladimir-putin-still-be-alive","question":"Will Vladimir Putin still be alive at the beginning of 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.66305,0.33695],"probability":0.66305,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-01-05T18:58:10.962000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T08:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8743.518579819309,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.50718116760254,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T10:19:15.387484Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T21:25:37.327462Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-vladimir-putin-still-be-alive","event_title":"Will Vladimir Putin still be alive at the beginning of 2030?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/UsGRKNts2PP7147BAmAF","as_of":"2026-09-09T03:20:39.695647Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Vladimir Putin still be alive at the beginning of 2030?\" — top market at 66% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}