{"source":"manifold","id":"VJ899gH436N9B82IhL3i","ticker":null,"slug":"will-openai-be-one-of-the-top-5-mos","title":"Will OpenAI be one of the top 5 most valuable companies before 2040?","description":"Based on Market Capitalisation, will OpenAI be in the top 5 most valuable companies at any point before 2040?\n\nBased on speculation around their upcoming funding round in Dec 2023, OpenAI could be currently  valued at $100 billion\n\nCurrently the top 5 is:\n\nMicrosoft ~3T\n\nApple  ~2.8T\n\nSaudi Aramco ~2T\n\nNvidia ~1.8T\n\nGoogle ~1.8T\n\nOpenAI is rumored to be working on\n\nConsumer Hardware (with Apple's Johnny Ive) \n\nSearch Engine \n\nCustom AI Chips \n\n","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/elf%2F09d14c8050f6.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-16T05:22:52.001000Z","end_date":"2039-12-31T12:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9132.129532564164,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.221134185791016,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance","Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.393399,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will OpenAI be one of the top 5 most valuable companies before 2040?","top_outcome_probability":0.393399,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/elf/will-openai-be-one-of-the-top-5-mos","chart_24h":[0.393399,0.393399],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"VJ899gH436N9B82IhL3i","event_id":"VJ899gH436N9B82IhL3i","slug":"will-openai-be-one-of-the-top-5-mos","question":"Will OpenAI be one of the top 5 most valuable companies before 2040?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Based on Market Capitalisation, will OpenAI be in the top 5 most valuable companies at any point before 2040?\n\nBased on speculation around their upcoming funding round in Dec 2023, OpenAI could be currently  valued at $100 billion\n\nCurrently the top 5 is:\n\nMicrosoft ~3T\n\nApple  ~2.8T\n\nSaudi Aramco ~2T\n\nNvidia ~1.8T\n\nGoogle ~1.8T\n\nOpenAI is rumored to be working on\n\nConsumer Hardware (with Apple's Johnny Ive) \n\nSearch Engine \n\nCustom AI Chips \n\n","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/elf%2F09d14c8050f6.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.393399,0.606601],"probability":0.393399,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-16T05:22:52.001000Z","end_date":"2039-12-31T12:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9132.129532564164,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.221134185791016,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Finance","Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:36:25.491276Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T21:24:46.435883Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/elf/will-openai-be-one-of-the-top-5-mos","event_title":"Will OpenAI be one of the top 5 most valuable companies before 2040?","chart_24h":[0.393399,0.393399]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/VJ899gH436N9B82IhL3i","as_of":"2026-06-10T13:11:46.093961Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will OpenAI be one of the top 5 most valuable companies before 2040?\" — top market at 39% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}