{"source":"manifold","id":"VlCJeu4oMsHohpiZxzae","ticker":null,"slug":"will-there-be-an-ai-ceo-by-2040","title":"Will there be an AI CEO by 2040?","description":"If a Fortune 500 company lists an AI or an AI-run entity as its CEO I will resolve YES. If the company is run by an AI with no obvious human counterpart, I will resolve YES.\n\nIt won't count if the company also has a human CEO.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FmQk9oH9v0I.png?alt=media&token=03c75bbb-54e8-476d-a000-b0bdc82a2c25","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-06T12:06:47.303000Z","end_date":"2039-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11600.206194890632,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.88030242919922,"liquidity":1445.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.627654,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will there be an AI CEO by 2040?","top_outcome_probability":0.627654,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/StanPinsent/will-there-be-an-ai-ceo-by-2040","chart_24h":[0.627654,0.627654],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"VlCJeu4oMsHohpiZxzae","event_id":"VlCJeu4oMsHohpiZxzae","slug":"will-there-be-an-ai-ceo-by-2040","question":"Will there be an AI CEO by 2040?","group_item_title":null,"description":"If a Fortune 500 company lists an AI or an AI-run entity as its CEO I will resolve YES. If the company is run by an AI with no obvious human counterpart, I will resolve YES.\n\nIt won't count if the company also has a human CEO.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FmQk9oH9v0I.png?alt=media&token=03c75bbb-54e8-476d-a000-b0bdc82a2c25","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.627654,0.372346],"probability":0.627654,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-06T12:06:47.303000Z","end_date":"2039-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11600.206194890632,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.88030242919922,"liquidity":1445.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:43.497510Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/StanPinsent/will-there-be-an-ai-ceo-by-2040","event_title":"Will there be an AI CEO by 2040?","chart_24h":[0.627654,0.627654]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/VlCJeu4oMsHohpiZxzae","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:02:57.363481Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will there be an AI CEO by 2040?\" — top market at 63% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}