{"source":"manifold","id":"VxnB7vd5I3hg60PigZoz","ticker":null,"slug":"will-ftx-creditors-get-back-more-th","title":"Will FTX creditors get back more than 100%?","description":"If FTX has excess funds, bankruptcy team could potentially pay interest on claims.\n\nThis market is about FTX international creditors.\n\nUpdate 2025-10-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES only when larger claim holders (not just those under $50k) receive more than 100% of their claims. The fact that creditors under $50k have already received 100% plus 9% interest is not sufficient for resolution.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-03T12:53:59.169000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26638.758231456402,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.981082916259766,"liquidity":1197.5,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.971457,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will FTX creditors get back more than 100%?","top_outcome_probability":0.971457,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:45:23.390021Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:45:23.390021Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/will-ftx-creditors-get-back-more-th","chart_24h":[0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"VxnB7vd5I3hg60PigZoz","event_id":"VxnB7vd5I3hg60PigZoz","slug":"will-ftx-creditors-get-back-more-th","question":"Will FTX creditors get back more than 100%?","group_item_title":null,"description":"If FTX has excess funds, bankruptcy team could potentially pay interest on claims.\n\nThis market is about FTX international creditors.\n\nUpdate 2025-10-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES only when larger claim holders (not just those under $50k) receive more than 100% of their claims. The fact that creditors under $50k have already received 100% plus 9% interest is not sufficient for resolution.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.971457,0.028543],"probability":0.971457,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-03T12:53:59.169000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26638.758231456402,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.981082916259766,"liquidity":1197.5,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:44:45.770621Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:44:45.770621Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/will-ftx-creditors-get-back-more-th","event_title":"Will FTX creditors get back more than 100%?","chart_24h":[0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457,0.971457]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/VxnB7vd5I3hg60PigZoz","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:46:00.552543Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will FTX creditors get back more than 100%?\" — top market at 97% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}