{"source":"manifold","id":"W4stNkuP0VewRNdOiglq","ticker":null,"slug":"will-donald-trump-become-the-first","title":"Will Donald Trump become the first dictator of the United States before 2030?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-20T22:06:05.164000Z","end_date":"2029-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":33863.025490869164,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.247215270996094,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.080469,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Donald Trump become the first dictator of the United States before 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.080469,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:30:00.909842Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:30:00.909842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/GreenComp/will-donald-trump-become-the-first","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"W4stNkuP0VewRNdOiglq","event_id":"W4stNkuP0VewRNdOiglq","slug":"will-donald-trump-become-the-first","question":"Will Donald Trump become the first dictator of the United States before 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.080469,0.919531],"probability":0.080469,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-20T22:06:05.164000Z","end_date":"2029-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":33863.025490869164,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.247215270996094,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T10:19:15.387484Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/GreenComp/will-donald-trump-become-the-first","event_title":"Will Donald Trump become the first dictator of the United States before 2030?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/W4stNkuP0VewRNdOiglq","as_of":"2026-09-19T04:49:07.876442Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Donald Trump become the first dictator of the United States before 2030?\" — top market at 8% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}