{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/WToaPBXKffiuF2rzcIe8","as_of":"2026-10-24T13:07:51.142012Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?\" — 17% as of 2026-10-17 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/WToaPBXKffiuF2rzcIe8","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Sky/will-an-aigenerated-movie-be-nomina"},"source":"manifold","id":"WToaPBXKffiuF2rzcIe8","ticker":null,"slug":"will-an-aigenerated-movie-be-nomina","title":"Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?","description":"Market resolves to YES if:\n\nAt least one movie with footage that is entirely generated by a text-to-video AI is nominated for an Oscar before 2030. Everything else can be done by humans, including music score, script-writing, dialogue and editing, provided all of the original footage is AI-generated. The movie can be nominated in any category.\n\nClose date updated to 2030-01-01 12:01 am","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-09T15:48:05.462000Z","end_date":"2029-12-31T22:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18605.689877654633,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.55049133300781,"liquidity":1210.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.167964,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.167964,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-17T01:26:19.203823Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T01:26:19.203823Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Sky/will-an-aigenerated-movie-be-nomina","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"WToaPBXKffiuF2rzcIe8","event_id":"WToaPBXKffiuF2rzcIe8","slug":"will-an-aigenerated-movie-be-nomina","question":"Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Market resolves to YES if:\n\nAt least one movie with footage that is entirely generated by a text-to-video AI is nominated for an Oscar before 2030. Everything else can be done by humans, including music score, script-writing, dialogue and editing, provided all of the original footage is AI-generated. The movie can be nominated in any category.\n\nClose date updated to 2030-01-01 12:01 am","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.167964,0.832036],"probability":0.167964,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-09T15:48:05.462000Z","end_date":"2029-12-31T22:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":18605.689877654633,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.55049133300781,"liquidity":1210.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T01:24:06.727478Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T01:24:06.727478Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Sky/will-an-aigenerated-movie-be-nomina","event_title":"Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?","chart_24h":null}]}