{"source":"manifold","id":"WteXLdgP3Vb3d31bGKcQ","ticker":"WteXLdgP3Vb3d31bGKcQ","slug":"when-will-a-bridge-like-the-francis","title":"When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?","description":"When will the bridge either be repaired, or a new bridge constructed that a car can drive across in it's place?","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T08:37:14.855000Z","end_date":"2026-06-28T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18864.12964695632,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.373291015625,"liquidity":2840.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["World"],"tags":["world-default","infrastructure","shipping","francis-scott-key-bridge-disaster"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Summer Solstice 2031","top_outcome_probability":0.758461,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.087263Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.087263Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Fedor/when-will-a-bridge-like-the-francis","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"68fc9a036b7b","event_id":"WteXLdgP3Vb3d31bGKcQ","slug":null,"question":"Summer Solstice 2031","group_item_title":"Summer Solstice 2031","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.758461,0.241539],"probability":0.758461,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-05-03T12:15:44.026000Z","end_date":"2026-06-28T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.4529328942298889,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:41.331148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:34.737992Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Fedor/when-will-a-bridge-like-the-francis","event_title":"When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?","chart_24h":[0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461,0.758461]},{"source":"manifold","id":"de6575c535da","event_id":"WteXLdgP3Vb3d31bGKcQ","slug":null,"question":"Summer Solstice 2030","group_item_title":"Summer Solstice 2030","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.450199,0.549801],"probability":0.450199,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-05-03T12:15:25.546000Z","end_date":"2026-06-28T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.4688944816589355,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:41.331148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:34.737992Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Fedor/when-will-a-bridge-like-the-francis","event_title":"When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?","chart_24h":[0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199,0.450199]},{"source":"manifold","id":"75e9b0100160","event_id":"WteXLdgP3Vb3d31bGKcQ","slug":null,"question":"Summer Solstice 2029","group_item_title":"Summer Solstice 2029","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.190756,0.809244],"probability":0.190756,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-02T17:55:42.757000Z","end_date":"2026-06-28T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":95.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.818122863769531,"liquidity":145.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:41.331148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:34.737992Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Fedor/when-will-a-bridge-like-the-francis","event_title":"When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?","chart_24h":[0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756,0.190756]},{"source":"manifold","id":"56deb4dcd5e0","event_id":"WteXLdgP3Vb3d31bGKcQ","slug":null,"question":"Summer Solstice 2028","group_item_title":"Summer Solstice 2028","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.091955,0.908045],"probability":0.091955,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-02T17:55:07.677000Z","end_date":"2026-06-28T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.175218105316162,"liquidity":125.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:41.331148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:34.737992Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Fedor/when-will-a-bridge-like-the-francis","event_title":"When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?","chart_24h":[0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955,0.091955]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0d94f68c3ade","event_id":"WteXLdgP3Vb3d31bGKcQ","slug":null,"question":"Summer Solstice 2027","group_item_title":"Summer Solstice 2027","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.038269,0.961731],"probability":0.038269,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-27T12:47:43.421000Z","end_date":"2026-06-28T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.175218105316162,"liquidity":205.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:41.331148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:34.737992Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Fedor/when-will-a-bridge-like-the-francis","event_title":"When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?","chart_24h":[0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269,0.038269]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0f900a8629c4","event_id":"WteXLdgP3Vb3d31bGKcQ","slug":null,"question":"Spring Equinox 2027","group_item_title":"Spring Equinox 2027","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T08:56:29.072000Z","end_date":"2026-06-28T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1084.3775646069528,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.33411407470703,"liquidity":425.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:41.331148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:34.737992Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Fedor/when-will-a-bridge-like-the-francis","event_title":"When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"manifold","id":"32ccaba368af","event_id":"WteXLdgP3Vb3d31bGKcQ","slug":null,"question":"Summer Solstice 2026","group_item_title":"Summer Solstice 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-02T17:52:41.430000Z","end_date":"2026-06-28T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":180.53258640979877,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.152928352355957,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:41.331148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:34.737992Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Fedor/when-will-a-bridge-like-the-francis","event_title":"When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"manifold","id":"253fac35ebba","event_id":"WteXLdgP3Vb3d31bGKcQ","slug":null,"question":"Christmas 2024","group_item_title":"Christmas 2024","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T08:37:14.855000Z","end_date":"2026-06-28T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":385.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:41.331148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:34.737992Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Fedor/when-will-a-bridge-like-the-francis","event_title":"When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"272b23453773","event_id":"WteXLdgP3Vb3d31bGKcQ","slug":null,"question":"Christmas 2025","group_item_title":"Christmas 2025","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T08:37:14.855000Z","end_date":"2026-06-28T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":345.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:41.331148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:34.737992Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Fedor/when-will-a-bridge-like-the-francis","event_title":"When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8f3c1deb5f49","event_id":"WteXLdgP3Vb3d31bGKcQ","slug":null,"question":"Summer Solstice 2024","group_item_title":"Summer Solstice 2024","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T08:37:14.855000Z","end_date":"2026-06-28T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":265.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:41.331148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:34.737992Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Fedor/when-will-a-bridge-like-the-francis","event_title":"When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a08f746a8dc3","event_id":"WteXLdgP3Vb3d31bGKcQ","slug":null,"question":"Summer Solstice 2025","group_item_title":"Summer Solstice 2025","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T08:37:14.855000Z","end_date":"2026-06-28T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":445.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:41.331148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:34.737992Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Fedor/when-will-a-bridge-like-the-francis","event_title":"When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b0f6731877f2","event_id":"WteXLdgP3Vb3d31bGKcQ","slug":null,"question":"Halloween 2024","group_item_title":"Halloween 2024","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-26T08:37:14.855000Z","end_date":"2026-06-28T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":345.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:41.331148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T14:03:34.737992Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Fedor/when-will-a-bridge-like-the-francis","event_title":"When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/WteXLdgP3Vb3d31bGKcQ","as_of":"2026-06-20T14:07:14.586081Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?\" — top market at 76% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}