{"source":"manifold","id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","ticker":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":"who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","description":null,"image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2F8fL1bvnDDi.png?alt=media&token=7bebb290-1bc0-494c-95db-3f4cbe1b63f4","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-07T10:27:40.659000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26227.600693482567,"volume_24hr":43.339076989264264,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.595203876495361,"normalized_volume":38.8621711730957,"liquidity":2399.9999999999995,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["politics-default","france"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Jordan Bardella","top_outcome_probability":0.25249,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0005020000000000024,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T17:14:39.826496Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T17:14:39.826496Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"3245c10de73b","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Gabriel Attal ","group_item_title":"Gabriel Attal ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.078566,0.921434],"probability":0.078566,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-26T06:20:07.814000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4178.477384147948,"volume_24hr":43.33907698926396,"prob_24h_change":-0.008834000000000009,"volume_24h_change":43.33907698926396,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.595203876495361,"normalized_volume":26.098140716552734,"liquidity":132.85742148407624,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:08.643937Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.0874,0.0874,0.0874,0.0874,0.0874,0.0874,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566,0.078566]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9c936e0474a6","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Jordan Bardella","group_item_title":"Jordan Bardella","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.25249,0.74751],"probability":0.25249,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-18T10:57:20.269000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2144.628616650364,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0005020000000000024,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.091089248657227,"liquidity":3.3677165217854474,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.251988,0.251988,0.251988,0.251988,0.251988,0.251988,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249,0.25249]},{"source":"manifold","id":"16ce55491448","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Édouard Philippe","group_item_title":"Édouard Philippe","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.1558,0.8442],"probability":0.1558,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-07T12:41:09.460000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":450.4279299072362,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00027800000000000047,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.025477409362793,"liquidity":32.975669649443724,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.155522,0.155522,0.155522,0.155522,0.155522,0.155522,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558,0.1558]},{"source":"manifold","id":"045dd7a2fcd5","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Other","group_item_title":"Other","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.101611,0.898389],"probability":0.101611,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-07T10:27:41.491000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":157.3943057215968,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00014200000000000323,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.630876541137695,"liquidity":22.08233558572809,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.101469,0.101469,0.101469,0.101469,0.101469,0.101469,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611,0.101611]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b1c73d6c33f8","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","group_item_title":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.100571,0.899429],"probability":0.100571,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-07T11:44:34.306000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":494.66094089005753,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0004609999999999892,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.45773696899414,"liquidity":10.643993877075618,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.10011,0.10011,0.10011,0.10011,0.10011,0.10011,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571,0.100571]},{"source":"manifold","id":"03831551cb66","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Marine Le Pen","group_item_title":"Marine Le Pen","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.058122,0.941878],"probability":0.058122,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-07T11:44:09.953000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":919.1361514992866,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00006199999999999956,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.48381996154785,"liquidity":103.7582857694164,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.05806,0.05806,0.05806,0.05806,0.05806,0.05806,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122,0.058122]},{"source":"manifold","id":"SO98lQUcEN","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Dominique de Villepin ","group_item_title":"Dominique de Villepin ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.038029,0.961971],"probability":0.038029,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-04-07T18:31:49.645000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":140.59403982508138,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00007100000000000162,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.209207534790039,"liquidity":22.510808787920965,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.037958,0.037958,0.037958,0.037958,0.037958,0.037958,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029,0.038029]},{"source":"manifold","id":"56ebbba42f17","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Someone not on this list","group_item_title":"Someone not on this list","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.037213,0.962787],"probability":0.037213,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-05-11T17:32:36.590000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13.953811520501514,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.007010000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.746727466583252,"liquidity":0.4934622125435798,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.030203,0.030203,0.030203,0.030203,0.030203,0.030203,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213,0.037213]},{"source":"manifold","id":"QSqcEzn2CN","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"François Hollande","group_item_title":"François Hollande","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.028112,0.971888],"probability":0.028112,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-12T21:08:01.611000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":94.56622616706832,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00004100000000000284,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.8052568435668945,"liquidity":22.08233558572809,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.028071,0.028071,0.028071,0.028071,0.028071,0.028071,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112,0.028112]},{"source":"manifold","id":"CQqOhPl8ut","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Bruno Retailleau","group_item_title":"Bruno Retailleau","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.019282,0.980718],"probability":0.019282,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-03-07T10:14:22.976000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":53.04536327091602,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00004200000000000037,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.975844860076904,"liquidity":14.16394696851102,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.01924,0.01924,0.01924,0.01924,0.01924,0.01924,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282,0.019282]},{"source":"manifold","id":"uR0Iz6yEyg","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Raphaël Glucksmann","group_item_title":"Raphaël Glucksmann","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.019055,0.980945],"probability":0.019055,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-03-07T10:16:09.326000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":215.50734102042077,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000026999999999999247,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.856075286865234,"liquidity":20.89968295060766,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.019028,0.019028,0.019028,0.019028,0.019028,0.019028,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055,0.019055]},{"source":"manifold","id":"074rxm2tw4","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Christine Lagarde","group_item_title":"Christine Lagarde","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.015409,0.984591],"probability":0.015409,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-12T10:07:01.109000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000029000000000001247,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.2051782608032227,"liquidity":6.874129351439697,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.01538,0.01538,0.01538,0.01538,0.01538,0.01538,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409,0.015409]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5805a76d7388","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Bernard Cazeneuve","group_item_title":"Bernard Cazeneuve","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.012228,0.987772],"probability":0.012228,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-04-29T21:35:36.790000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":78.74224148939194,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00002099999999999845,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.197836875915527,"liquidity":0.12444444444444444,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.012207,0.012207,0.012207,0.012207,0.012207,0.012207,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228,0.012228]},{"source":"manifold","id":"39175b8df2a3","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Olivier Faure ","group_item_title":"Olivier Faure ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.012029,0.987971],"probability":0.012029,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-07T13:45:51.866000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":44.45220511838206,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000016999999999999654,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.468385696411133,"liquidity":0.2434588610922562,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.012012,0.012012,0.012012,0.012012,0.012012,0.012012,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029,0.012029]},{"source":"manifold","id":"tz5dnc6OLA","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Sarah Knafo","group_item_title":"Sarah Knafo","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.010933,0.989067],"probability":0.010933,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-10T18:53:33.959000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":311.84512603609653,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000013000000000000858,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.393074035644531,"liquidity":23.49490015589145,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.01092,0.01092,0.01092,0.01092,0.01092,0.01092,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933,0.010933]},{"source":"manifold","id":"nROO098qOO","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Sébastien Lecornu","group_item_title":"Sébastien Lecornu","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.010697,0.989303],"probability":0.010697,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-11T12:24:05.245000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":192.88318477523353,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000011000000000000593,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.415034294128418,"liquidity":21.42091542554445,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.010686,0.010686,0.010686,0.010686,0.010686,0.010686,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697,0.010697]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5a5cf5d240f2","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"François Ruffin","group_item_title":"François Ruffin","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.010336,0.989664],"probability":0.010336,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-07T13:37:33.768000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.405008916350675,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000026999999999999247,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.28909409046173096,"liquidity":4.257085260456546,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.010309,0.010309,0.010309,0.010309,0.010309,0.010309,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336,0.010336]},{"source":"manifold","id":"EP6POECOhy","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Éric Zemmour","group_item_title":"Éric Zemmour","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.006417,0.993583],"probability":0.006417,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-10T18:56:41.537000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":544.1763282543438,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":5.999999999999929e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.904791831970215,"liquidity":23.96336479196016,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.006411,0.006411,0.006411,0.006411,0.006411,0.006411,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417,0.006417]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6f408061adcf","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Gérald Darmanin","group_item_title":"Gérald Darmanin","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.005974,0.994026],"probability":0.005974,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-08T11:54:20.567000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.498367165701168,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000014000000000000123,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.314907431602478,"liquidity":2.3519577716527245,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.00596,0.00596,0.00596,0.00596,0.00596,0.00596,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974,0.005974]},{"source":"manifold","id":"nEyc5l8lAq","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Juan Branco","group_item_title":"Juan Branco","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.005526,0.994474],"probability":0.005526,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-05T09:03:14.651000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":129.49969324865458,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":3.9999999999996635e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.908288955688477,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.005522,0.005522,0.005522,0.005522,0.005522,0.005522,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526,0.005526]},{"source":"manifold","id":"c842c98d59a4","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Élisabeth Borne","group_item_title":"Élisabeth Borne","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.005347,0.994653],"probability":0.005347,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-06T19:47:25.464000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7.36206503579298,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000020000000000000052,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.6930915117263794,"liquidity":0.18488850533094445,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.005327,0.005327,0.005327,0.005327,0.005327,0.005327,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347,0.005347]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dbf686a35e95","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"François Bayrou ","group_item_title":"François Bayrou ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.003953,0.996047],"probability":0.003953,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-08T11:53:54.558000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2.7709701359004777,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":8.000000000000194e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.6613802313804626,"liquidity":0.20444444444444446,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.003945,0.003945,0.003945,0.003945,0.003945,0.003945,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953,0.003953]},{"source":"manifold","id":"QCyNttQ8Ul","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Marine Tondelier","group_item_title":"Marine Tondelier","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00334,0.99666],"probability":0.00334,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-03-07T10:15:27.565000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4.674026752637216,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":2.9999999999999645e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.1312037706375122,"liquidity":20.06473618162919,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.003337,0.003337,0.003337,0.003337,0.003337,0.003337,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334,0.00334]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8460ceebe3a1","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Bruno Le Maire ","group_item_title":"Bruno Le Maire ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.003009,0.996991],"probability":0.003009,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-08T11:53:42.443000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4.931006507160321,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":5.999999999999929e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.1896700859069824,"liquidity":0.22068142838658872,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.003003,0.003003,0.003003,0.003003,0.003003,0.003003,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009,0.003009]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0e3947910cbc","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Laurent Wauquiez","group_item_title":"Laurent Wauquiez","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002634,0.997366],"probability":0.002634,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-07T23:57:32.625000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6.244600015797128,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":4.000000000000097e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.4720911979675293,"liquidity":0.20444444444444446,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.00263,0.00263,0.00263,0.00263,0.00263,0.00263,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634,0.002634]},{"source":"manifold","id":"h3d61ixcvk","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Gérard Larcher","group_item_title":"Gérard Larcher","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001732,0.998268],"probability":0.001732,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-11T17:54:14.703000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4.141679384520242,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":2.0000000000000486e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.0064465999603271,"liquidity":5.017230095539773,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.00173,0.00173,0.00173,0.00173,0.00173,0.00173,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732,0.001732]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hAq62CE98z","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Rachida Dati","group_item_title":"Rachida Dati","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00128,0.99872],"probability":0.00128,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-03-07T10:14:43.590000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2.0326249539705827,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.46205171942710876,"liquidity":18.857459399785284,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128,0.00128]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ffa82139c77d","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"François Fillon","group_item_title":"François Fillon","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000305,0.999695],"probability":0.000305,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-07T16:22:59.462000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":67.14741107814714,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00001299999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.6905388832092285,"liquidity":0.20444444444444446,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.000292,0.000292,0.000292,0.000292,0.000292,0.000292,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305,0.000305]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a5b280057777","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Emmanuel Macron ","group_item_title":"Emmanuel Macron ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1e-6,0.999999],"probability":1e-6,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-07T13:36:16.193000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.8722882590739254,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6,1e-6]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dcf9d503f975","event_id":"XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","slug":null,"question":"Nathalie Arthaud","group_item_title":"Nathalie Arthaud","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-04-29T15:31:52.777000Z","end_date":"2028-02-07T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.20444444444444446,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:17:11.178579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:15:38.666554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/who-will-be-the-next-president-of-f","event_title":"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/XIkFLlSrjPBTAkDEmdj9","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:22:36.282113Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Who will be the next president of France after Macron?\" — top market at 8% probability across 30 outcomes","source_url":null}}