{"source":"manifold","id":"Y97JOjLQKqd63dARJibz","ticker":null,"slug":"will-it-be-common-for-nonprogrammer-dfc979ea7fec","title":"Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2027","description":"Duplicated from tailcalled's market, but with earlier close date:\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/tailcalled/will-it-be-common-for-nonprogrammer)It may later be succeeded by other technologies, but it should be a thing for a period of at least 6 months.\n\n10% of people regularly doing it will serve as an anchor for the definition of \"common\", but I don't expect to have this clean data when resolving, and will be vaguely estimating based on this.\n\nIt may be wrapped in a no-code user interface, as long as there is still a very general coding AI behind it.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FnBFqHfllf9.png?alt=media&token=6d1acea7-3c0b-4754-a759-933698e5a2d1","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-17T14:21:20.322000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4626.962360702176,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.71025848388672,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.23,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.23,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-20T15:00:35.774325Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T15:00:35.774325Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/jskf/will-it-be-common-for-nonprogrammer-dfc979ea7fec","chart_24h":[0.23,0.23],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"Y97JOjLQKqd63dARJibz","event_id":"Y97JOjLQKqd63dARJibz","slug":"will-it-be-common-for-nonprogrammer-dfc979ea7fec","question":"Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2027","group_item_title":null,"description":"Duplicated from tailcalled's market, but with earlier close date:\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/tailcalled/will-it-be-common-for-nonprogrammer)It may later be succeeded by other technologies, but it should be a thing for a period of at least 6 months.\n\n10% of people regularly doing it will serve as an anchor for the definition of \"common\", but I don't expect to have this clean data when resolving, and will be vaguely estimating based on this.\n\nIt may be wrapped in a no-code user interface, as long as there is still a very general coding AI behind it.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FnBFqHfllf9.png?alt=media&token=6d1acea7-3c0b-4754-a759-933698e5a2d1","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-17T14:21:20.322000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4626.962360702176,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.71025848388672,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:32:56.701205Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T14:59:45.445152Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/jskf/will-it-be-common-for-nonprogrammer-dfc979ea7fec","event_title":"Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2027","chart_24h":[0.23,0.23]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/Y97JOjLQKqd63dARJibz","as_of":"2026-07-25T19:58:16.525754Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2027\" — top market at 23% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}