{"source":"manifold","id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","ticker":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":"which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","description":"[image]In light of increasing interstate conflicts in the 2020s, many European countries may reconsider their stance on conscription. Partial conscription, as seen in Sweden, could become more common across Europe. This market is based on official changes to conscription policy and laws, not necessarily on conscription being implemented on the ground. Therefore, as long as it is officially established, it counts.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/soweliSon%2Fa9f23c7eafc7.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-01T23:04:15.265000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5390.218696636907,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.716157913208008,"liquidity":4150.5,"open_interest":null,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":["europe","military","ukrainerussia-war","politics-default","conscription","german-politics","wars","israelhamas-conflict-2023"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Croatia 🇭🇷","top_outcome_probability":0.928301,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.087263Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.087263Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"3bdddd00c905","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Croatia 🇭🇷","group_item_title":"Croatia 🇭🇷","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.928301,0.071699],"probability":0.928301,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-02T16:11:47.653000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":225.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Croatia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301,0.928301]},{"source":"manifold","id":"f23a3dc36fc5","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Serbia 🇷🇸","group_item_title":"Serbia 🇷🇸","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.41],"probability":0.59,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-02T14:03:50.855000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3.4166227574232813,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.828254222869873,"liquidity":145.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Serbia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59]},{"source":"manifold","id":"da3baec941ea","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Poland 🇵🇱","group_item_title":"Poland 🇵🇱","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42],"probability":0.58,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-01T23:04:15.265000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.0349379872185762,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.18948596715927124,"liquidity":373.33333333333337,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Poland"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58]},{"source":"manifold","id":"d32fc36434c9","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Latvia 🇱🇻","group_item_title":"Latvia 🇱🇻","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.538405,0.461595],"probability":0.538405,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-01T23:29:12.134000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Latvia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405,0.538405]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6a37486f9783","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Germany 🇩🇪","group_item_title":"Germany 🇩🇪","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.522758,0.477242],"probability":0.522758,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-01T23:04:15.265000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.469726324081421,"liquidity":413.33333333333337,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758,0.522758]},{"source":"manifold","id":"15c254f65893","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Romania 🇷🇴","group_item_title":"Romania 🇷🇴","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.520071,0.479929],"probability":0.520071,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-02T19:48:57.612000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":245.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071,0.520071]},{"source":"manifold","id":"7ff0e4c4762c","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Kosovo 🇽🇰","group_item_title":"Kosovo 🇽🇰","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.4281,0.5719],"probability":0.4281,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-03T21:24:12.859000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":125.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Kosovo"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281,0.4281]},{"source":"manifold","id":"15114e9f8873","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"North Macedonia 🇲🇰","group_item_title":"North Macedonia 🇲🇰","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.343794,0.656206],"probability":0.343794,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-06T00:39:04.478000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":145.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["North Macedonia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794,0.343794]},{"source":"manifold","id":"46bd866f7f6a","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Albania 🇦🇱","group_item_title":"Albania 🇦🇱","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.337838,0.662162],"probability":0.337838,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-07T04:10:13.567000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Albania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838,0.337838]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8e1e8d320bb6","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"France 🇫🇷","group_item_title":"France 🇫🇷","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.67],"probability":0.33,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-02T16:09:53.743000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24.73897790047382,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.9602720737457275,"liquidity":165.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33]},{"source":"manifold","id":"308e92203e66","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Bulgaria 🇧🇬","group_item_title":"Bulgaria 🇧🇬","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.323851,0.676149],"probability":0.323851,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-04T20:32:17.259000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":165.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851,0.323851]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8a3e729c196e","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Slovenia 🇸🇮","group_item_title":"Slovenia 🇸🇮","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.277483,0.722517],"probability":0.277483,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-02T21:45:04.860000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":145.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Slovenia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483,0.277483]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0c8a92357a6f","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Montenegro 🇲🇪","group_item_title":"Montenegro 🇲🇪","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.276824,0.723176],"probability":0.276824,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-07T00:05:19.595000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":85.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Montenegro"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824,0.276824]},{"source":"manifold","id":"14f2fe52281b","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Hungary 🇭🇺","group_item_title":"Hungary 🇭🇺","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.274843,0.725157],"probability":0.274843,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-07T00:11:11.749000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Hungary"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843,0.274843]},{"source":"manifold","id":"982790f6f6e9","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Czechia 🇨🇿","group_item_title":"Czechia 🇨🇿","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.251289,0.748711],"probability":0.251289,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-07T04:12:18.557000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":85.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Czech Republic"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289,0.251289]},{"source":"manifold","id":"c33fb616a0d0","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Belgium 🇧🇪","group_item_title":"Belgium 🇧🇪","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-07T04:11:33.416000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28.939994265319534,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.3375396728515625,"liquidity":85.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Belgium"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cae66cc2f196","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Slovakia 🇸🇰","group_item_title":"Slovakia 🇸🇰","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.238955,0.761045],"probability":0.238955,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-04T13:32:00.767000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Slovakia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955,0.238955]},{"source":"manifold","id":"27315d2e31d2","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Bosnia and Herzegovina 🇧🇦","group_item_title":"Bosnia and Herzegovina 🇧🇦","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-02T21:48:56.602000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.0289198600692915,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.18790939450263977,"liquidity":65.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Bosnia and Herzegovina"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22]},{"source":"manifold","id":"49fa243a8564","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Netherlands 🇳🇱","group_item_title":"Netherlands 🇳🇱","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-03T02:10:12.909000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4.8699312676896795,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.1758737564086914,"liquidity":225.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Netherlands"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b36d1bdb1b41","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Italy 🇮🇹","group_item_title":"Italy 🇮🇹","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.18992,0.81008],"probability":0.18992,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-02T18:12:05.043000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":205.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992,0.18992]},{"source":"manifold","id":"83fd1497f2b9","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Spain 🇪🇸","group_item_title":"Spain 🇪🇸","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.175862,0.824138],"probability":0.175862,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-04T09:45:12.523000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862,0.175862]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8da79a7b5649","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"United Kingdom 🇬🇧","group_item_title":"United Kingdom 🇬🇧","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.130114,0.869886],"probability":0.130114,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-01T23:04:15.265000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8.603481840385841,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.9209883213043213,"liquidity":333.33333333333337,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114,0.130114]},{"source":"manifold","id":"24f2b1312807","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Portugal 🇵🇹","group_item_title":"Portugal 🇵🇹","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.124566,0.875434],"probability":0.124566,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-06T11:54:00.557000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":165.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Portugal"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566,0.124566]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b248e02ea37e","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Malta 🇲🇹","group_item_title":"Malta 🇲🇹","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-04T09:35:59.759000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.47580383738538434,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.05686475709080696,"liquidity":85.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Malta"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"manifold","id":"233ad756d3bf","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Iceland 🇮🇸","group_item_title":"Iceland 🇮🇸","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.109043,0.890957],"probability":0.109043,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-07T04:13:20.968000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iceland"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043,0.109043]},{"source":"manifold","id":"c77b6279afc3","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Ireland 🇮🇪","group_item_title":"Ireland 🇮🇪","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.108818,0.891182],"probability":0.108818,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-04T09:33:54.008000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2.3825882874310897,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.557497501373291,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Ireland"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818,0.108818]},{"source":"manifold","id":"1305748d889d","event_id":"Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","slug":null,"question":"Luxembourg 🇱🇺","group_item_title":"Luxembourg 🇱🇺","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-07T04:16:12.642000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Luxembourg"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:11.263899Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:05.525708Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/soweliSon/which-countries-in-europe-will-rees","event_title":"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/Yn3Zy560LQtJSdIUaL5D","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:59:04.688087Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺\" — top market at 93% probability across 27 outcomes","source_url":null}}