{"source":"manifold","id":"YuudKpOYHGArG07iFZ6T","ticker":null,"slug":"will-proof-emerge-that-the-world-is","title":"Will proof emerge that the world is ruled by lizard people?","description":"The mere existence of lizard people is not enough for this to resolve YES, they need to be shown to rule the world.\n\nExamples that qualify would be any of the below being exposed as a lizard person:\n\nRuler of state\n\nHigh government official such as an US senator\n\nHigh religious figure such as the Pope or the Dalai Lama\n\nSomeone in the top 25 richest people in the world\n\nHigh ranking military officer(s).\n\nI'm not sure what exactly could constitute as proof, I guess we'll know it when we see it. Ultimately the proof needs to be good enough to actually convince me.\n\n\nClose date updated to 2033-01-01 10:59 am","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2F_HfeHfVwu2.png?alt=media&token=4aa91ce8-826f-4957-882c-356015e23623","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-12-30T23:18:31.868000Z","end_date":"2032-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11145.892666887965,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.59889602661133,"liquidity":1310.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Other"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.020427,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will proof emerge that the world is ruled by lizard people?","top_outcome_probability":0.020427,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Odoacre/will-proof-emerge-that-the-world-is","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"YuudKpOYHGArG07iFZ6T","event_id":"YuudKpOYHGArG07iFZ6T","slug":"will-proof-emerge-that-the-world-is","question":"Will proof emerge that the world is ruled by lizard people?","group_item_title":null,"description":"The mere existence of lizard people is not enough for this to resolve YES, they need to be shown to rule the world.\n\nExamples that qualify would be any of the below being exposed as a lizard person:\n\nRuler of state\n\nHigh government official such as an US senator\n\nHigh religious figure such as the Pope or the Dalai Lama\n\nSomeone in the top 25 richest people in the world\n\nHigh ranking military officer(s).\n\nI'm not sure what exactly could constitute as proof, I guess we'll know it when we see it. Ultimately the proof needs to be good enough to actually convince me.\n\n\nClose date updated to 2033-01-01 10:59 am","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2F_HfeHfVwu2.png?alt=media&token=4aa91ce8-826f-4957-882c-356015e23623","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.020427,0.979573],"probability":0.020427,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-12-30T23:18:31.868000Z","end_date":"2032-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11145.892666887965,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.59889602661133,"liquidity":1310.0,"categories":["Other"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Odoacre/will-proof-emerge-that-the-world-is","event_title":"Will proof emerge that the world is ruled by lizard people?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/YuudKpOYHGArG07iFZ6T","as_of":"2026-06-11T03:14:36.888231Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will proof emerge that the world is ruled by lizard people?\" — top market at 2% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}