{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/Z3R6FnO2BDyDGgipU0An","as_of":"2026-10-24T06:08:33.411678Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?\" — 49% as of 2026-10-23 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/Z3R6FnO2BDyDGgipU0An","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-be-mentioned"},"source":"manifold","id":"Z3R6FnO2BDyDGgipU0An","ticker":null,"slug":"will-eliezer-yudkowsky-be-mentioned","title":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?","description":"From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872, clarifying Tyler Cowen's claims. \n\nResolves YES if either:\n\nAn invited participant clearly and unambiguously quotes Eliezer Yudkowsky. \n\nAn identifying percentage of his name passes any invited participant's lips for any reason. Doesn't matter what the context is. \n\nResolves NO if it doesn't.\n\n","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-05-23T13:11:56.792000Z","end_date":"2029-06-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":116214.24631711154,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":50.033531188964844,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.490095,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?","top_outcome_probability":0.490095,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T08:57:47.615139Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T08:57:47.615139Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-be-mentioned","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"Z3R6FnO2BDyDGgipU0An","event_id":"Z3R6FnO2BDyDGgipU0An","slug":"will-eliezer-yudkowsky-be-mentioned","question":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?","group_item_title":null,"description":"From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872, clarifying Tyler Cowen's claims. \n\nResolves YES if either:\n\nAn invited participant clearly and unambiguously quotes Eliezer Yudkowsky. \n\nAn identifying percentage of his name passes any invited participant's lips for any reason. Doesn't matter what the context is. \n\nResolves NO if it doesn't.\n\n","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.490095,0.509905],"probability":0.490095,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-05-23T13:11:56.792000Z","end_date":"2029-06-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":116214.24631711154,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":50.033531188964844,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T08:55:53.958044Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T08:55:53.958044Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-be-mentioned","event_title":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?","chart_24h":null}]}