{"source":"manifold","id":"Z3YrkK2HfxgpSPnEtuny","ticker":null,"slug":"will-prince-william-be-crowned-king-922d619271db","title":"Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2026?","description":"Prince William is heir to the throne of Britain.\n\nIf by December 31, 2026, Prince William is crowned the first King of Britain after Charles's reign, this market will resolve to “Yes”.\n\nIf by December 31, 2026, Prince William is allowed to be crowned King of England but chooses to pass on the responsibility to a younger member of the royal family, this question will resolve to \"No\".\n\nUpdate 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on coronation, not ascension to the throne. Prince William must be crowned by December 31, 2026 for this to resolve YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-06-26T18:57:15.394000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14526.376556905883,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.45821762084961,"liquidity":1020.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.189723,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.189723,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-17T00:40:03.551296Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:40:03.551296Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Predictor/will-prince-william-be-crowned-king-922d619271db","chart_24h":[0.189723,0.189723],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"Z3YrkK2HfxgpSPnEtuny","event_id":"Z3YrkK2HfxgpSPnEtuny","slug":"will-prince-william-be-crowned-king-922d619271db","question":"Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Prince William is heir to the throne of Britain.\n\nIf by December 31, 2026, Prince William is crowned the first King of Britain after Charles's reign, this market will resolve to “Yes”.\n\nIf by December 31, 2026, Prince William is allowed to be crowned King of England but chooses to pass on the responsibility to a younger member of the royal family, this question will resolve to \"No\".\n\nUpdate 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on coronation, not ascension to the throne. Prince William must be crowned by December 31, 2026 for this to resolve YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.189723,0.810277],"probability":0.189723,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-06-26T18:57:15.394000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14526.376556905883,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.45821762084961,"liquidity":1020.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-07-06T19:03:06.825517Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-17T00:39:13.403705Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Predictor/will-prince-william-be-crowned-king-922d619271db","event_title":"Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.189723,0.189723]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/Z3YrkK2HfxgpSPnEtuny","as_of":"2026-07-07T04:45:16.493891Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2026?\" — top market at 19% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}