{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/ZDRx34sOTLeTDRuSPpRQ","as_of":"2026-11-03T04:23:54.208162Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Which political party will be the \"tough on AI\" party?\" — \"The Democratic Party\" leads at 82% across 4 outcomes as of 2026-09-18 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/ZDRx34sOTLeTDRuSPpRQ","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/MattLashofSullivan/which-political-party-will-be-the-t"},"source":"manifold","id":"ZDRx34sOTLeTDRuSPpRQ","ticker":"ZDRx34sOTLeTDRuSPpRQ","slug":"which-political-party-will-be-the-t","title":"Which political party will be the \"tough on AI\" party?","description":"This is a \"vibes\" market not a policy analysis market. So things that indicate a YES would be one party's leaders talking about the dangers of AI while the other party says we need to race to beat China, regardless of the actual contents of legislation, regulations, orders, etc.\n\nI should hope this will be obvious by market close. This market will not resolve early, nor be extended.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-11T12:15:37.287000Z","end_date":"2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20712.971974698503,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.32107925415039,"liquidity":1547.5,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Science and Technology","Politics"],"tags":["technology-default","ai","politics-default","us-politics"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"The Democratic Party","top_outcome_probability":0.81819,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-18T02:23:53.932044Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T02:23:53.932044Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/MattLashofSullivan/which-political-party-will-be-the-t","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":4,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"6ff21b431ff5","event_id":"ZDRx34sOTLeTDRuSPpRQ","slug":null,"question":"The Democratic Party","group_item_title":"The Democratic Party","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.81819,0.18181],"probability":0.81819,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-11T12:15:37.288000Z","end_date":"2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3036.24880817685,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.64396095275879,"liquidity":508.8675134594813,"categories":["Science and Technology","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T04:13:09.827131Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T04:10:38.478804Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/MattLashofSullivan/which-political-party-will-be-the-t","event_title":"Which political party will be the \"tough on AI\" party?","chart_24h":[0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819,0.81819]},{"source":"manifold","id":"e54cb7fb2a07","event_id":"ZDRx34sOTLeTDRuSPpRQ","slug":null,"question":"No clear polarization by close date","group_item_title":"No clear polarization by close date","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.132042,0.867958],"probability":0.132042,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-11T12:15:37.288000Z","end_date":"2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1038.7888802118741,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.74506950378418,"liquidity":368.8675134594813,"categories":["Science and Technology","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T04:13:09.827131Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T04:10:38.478804Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/MattLashofSullivan/which-political-party-will-be-the-t","event_title":"Which political party will be the \"tough on AI\" party?","chart_24h":[0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042,0.132042]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b60cc284dcd0","event_id":"ZDRx34sOTLeTDRuSPpRQ","slug":null,"question":"The Republican Party","group_item_title":"The Republican Party","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.048672,0.951328],"probability":0.048672,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-11T12:15:37.288000Z","end_date":"2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":966.7223171676393,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.380008697509766,"liquidity":408.8675134594813,"categories":["Science and Technology","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T04:13:09.827131Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T04:10:38.478804Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/MattLashofSullivan/which-political-party-will-be-the-t","event_title":"Which political party will be the \"tough on AI\" party?","chart_24h":[0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672,0.048672]},{"source":"manifold","id":"aed57aee579f","event_id":"ZDRx34sOTLeTDRuSPpRQ","slug":null,"question":"A newly-prominent third party","group_item_title":"A newly-prominent third party","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001096,0.998904],"probability":0.001096,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-11T12:15:37.288000Z","end_date":"2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.44381338357925415,"liquidity":28.86751345948129,"categories":["Science and Technology","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T04:13:09.827131Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T04:10:38.478804Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/MattLashofSullivan/which-political-party-will-be-the-t","event_title":"Which political party will be the \"tough on AI\" party?","chart_24h":[0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096,0.001096]}]}