{"source":"manifold","id":"aL1uohqkgVhc021SzrBD","ticker":null,"slug":"will-we-see-an-increased-premium-pu","title":"Will we see more \"verified human\" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027?","description":"Prediction #2 in my \"Great Logging Off\" market\n\n\nMeta-market:\nhttps://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/how-many-of-my-predictions-in-marke-089c96830000?groupId=KgzUh68PEIltJSzCnmF2\n\nBlog post:\nhttps://www.fortressofdoors.com/ai-markets-for-lemons-and-the-great-logging-off\n\nThis resolves YES, if, by the end of 2027, in my sole opinion:\n\nThere is a SIGNIFICANT increase in \"verified human\" verification systems across most online platforms\n\nCompared to ~2020, people become reliant on these systems to tell humans from bots\n\nWe see significant increases in platform surveillance technology and methods of all types\n\nDec 27, 12:14pm: Will we see an increased premium put on \"verified human\" accounts + increased platform surveillance by 2027? → Will we see an increased premium put on \"verified human\" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027?\n\nDec 27, 12:14pm: Will we see an increased premium put on \"verified human\" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027? → Will we see more \"verified human\" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027?","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2F9Rri9m2_pb.png?alt=media&token=e764ec02-35e2-4f1b-9c6f-46212571ba2f","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-12-27T18:07:04.654000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1232.6404755048532,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.01838493347168,"liquidity":1090.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.90633,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will we see more \"verified human\" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.90633,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:45:23.390021Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:45:23.390021Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-we-see-an-increased-premium-pu","chart_24h":[0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"aL1uohqkgVhc021SzrBD","event_id":"aL1uohqkgVhc021SzrBD","slug":"will-we-see-an-increased-premium-pu","question":"Will we see more \"verified human\" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Prediction #2 in my \"Great Logging Off\" market\n\n\nMeta-market:\nhttps://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/how-many-of-my-predictions-in-marke-089c96830000?groupId=KgzUh68PEIltJSzCnmF2\n\nBlog post:\nhttps://www.fortressofdoors.com/ai-markets-for-lemons-and-the-great-logging-off\n\nThis resolves YES, if, by the end of 2027, in my sole opinion:\n\nThere is a SIGNIFICANT increase in \"verified human\" verification systems across most online platforms\n\nCompared to ~2020, people become reliant on these systems to tell humans from bots\n\nWe see significant increases in platform surveillance technology and methods of all types\n\nDec 27, 12:14pm: Will we see an increased premium put on \"verified human\" accounts + increased platform surveillance by 2027? → Will we see an increased premium put on \"verified human\" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027?\n\nDec 27, 12:14pm: Will we see an increased premium put on \"verified human\" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027? → Will we see more \"verified human\" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027?","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2F9Rri9m2_pb.png?alt=media&token=e764ec02-35e2-4f1b-9c6f-46212571ba2f","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.90633,0.09367],"probability":0.90633,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-12-27T18:07:04.654000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1232.6404755048532,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.01838493347168,"liquidity":1090.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:44:45.770621Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:44:45.770621Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-we-see-an-increased-premium-pu","event_title":"Will we see more \"verified human\" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027?","chart_24h":[0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633,0.90633]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/aL1uohqkgVhc021SzrBD","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:50:58.687755Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will we see more \"verified human\" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027?\" — top market at 91% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}