{"source":"manifold","id":"b3JRZnUcewzZm8KPIG5X","ticker":null,"slug":"if-someone-commits-antiaixrisk-terr","title":"If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?","description":"Resolves only if someone kills an AI researcher, AI company founder, or similar, in order to protest AI development, create fear to scare people away from AI development, or similar.\n\nResolves YES if afterwards, AI xrisk people are generally considered dangerous and struggle to get their message out. Since this is kind of vague and vibes-based, I will not bet. I may choose to resolve this market based on a poll of AI alignment researchers after the fact.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FnghpyCt59h.png?alt=media&token=36612778-65d0-4e7d-9230-9ff5916fbb0b","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-04-19T19:38:57.696000Z","end_date":"9998-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9765.940634841058,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.681962966918945,"liquidity":2007.5,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.319388,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?","top_outcome_probability":0.319388,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/tailcalled/if-someone-commits-antiaixrisk-terr","chart_24h":[0.319388,0.319388],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"b3JRZnUcewzZm8KPIG5X","event_id":"b3JRZnUcewzZm8KPIG5X","slug":"if-someone-commits-antiaixrisk-terr","question":"If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves only if someone kills an AI researcher, AI company founder, or similar, in order to protest AI development, create fear to scare people away from AI development, or similar.\n\nResolves YES if afterwards, AI xrisk people are generally considered dangerous and struggle to get their message out. Since this is kind of vague and vibes-based, I will not bet. I may choose to resolve this market based on a poll of AI alignment researchers after the fact.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FnghpyCt59h.png?alt=media&token=36612778-65d0-4e7d-9230-9ff5916fbb0b","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.319388,0.680612],"probability":0.319388,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-04-19T19:38:57.696000Z","end_date":"9998-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9765.940634841058,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.681962966918945,"liquidity":2007.5,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:03:11.907166Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-16T21:52:58.572024Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/tailcalled/if-someone-commits-antiaixrisk-terr","event_title":"If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?","chart_24h":[0.319388,0.319388]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/b3JRZnUcewzZm8KPIG5X","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:30:27.730983Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?\" — top market at 32% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}