{"source":"manifold","id":"cOSrb8CjlbGP2hWVGRgr","ticker":null,"slug":"will-humanity-obstruct-the-sun-befo","title":"Will Humanity Obstruct the Sun before 2030?","description":"We have the technology to block the sun. \n\n\nGlobal Warming is predicted to cause mass dessertification over the next century causing social upheaval. Many of these affected countries have ballistic technology which could in theory be used to obstruct the sun. \n\nPart Geo Engineering or supervillan plan it is within our abilities. \n\n\nSolar energy is the cheapest and best technology right now for the west and decarbonization. It would be a shame if Putin, Elon, or China nukes the sky to slow climate change and basically fuck solar energy markets. \n\nMarket will resolve yes if geoengineering projects in the sky at a large scale have verified negative affects against solar panels. \n\n\n(https://www.youtube.com/embed/AEagAcFP1II)","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-10-19T17:14:29.605000Z","end_date":"2030-01-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12628.584029195905,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.478729248046875,"liquidity":1850.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.046258,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Humanity Obstruct the Sun before 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.046258,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ThatGuy/will-humanity-obstruct-the-sun-befo","chart_24h":[0.046258,0.046258],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"cOSrb8CjlbGP2hWVGRgr","event_id":"cOSrb8CjlbGP2hWVGRgr","slug":"will-humanity-obstruct-the-sun-befo","question":"Will Humanity Obstruct the Sun before 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"We have the technology to block the sun. \n\n\nGlobal Warming is predicted to cause mass dessertification over the next century causing social upheaval. Many of these affected countries have ballistic technology which could in theory be used to obstruct the sun. \n\nPart Geo Engineering or supervillan plan it is within our abilities. \n\n\nSolar energy is the cheapest and best technology right now for the west and decarbonization. It would be a shame if Putin, Elon, or China nukes the sky to slow climate change and basically fuck solar energy markets. \n\nMarket will resolve yes if geoengineering projects in the sky at a large scale have verified negative affects against solar panels. \n\n\n(https://www.youtube.com/embed/AEagAcFP1II)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.046258,0.953742],"probability":0.046258,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-10-19T17:14:29.605000Z","end_date":"2030-01-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12628.584029195905,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.478729248046875,"liquidity":1850.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ThatGuy/will-humanity-obstruct-the-sun-befo","event_title":"Will Humanity Obstruct the Sun before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.046258,0.046258]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/cOSrb8CjlbGP2hWVGRgr","as_of":"2026-06-10T16:24:35.667511Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Humanity Obstruct the Sun before 2030?\" — top market at 5% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}