{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/ct30h17f23","as_of":"2026-10-13T06:06:37.613454Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?\" — 13% as of 2026-06-22 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/ct30h17f23","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/TOBEDELETED/will-messaging-apps-with-endtoend-e"},"source":"manifold","id":"ct30h17f23","ticker":null,"slug":"will-messaging-apps-with-endtoend-e","title":"Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?","description":"Will resolve YES if four of the seven nations in G7 (France, United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Japan, Italy and Canada) have banned messaging apps that use end-to-end encryption, or have otherwise made these apps non-functional or non-private when used in those nations. \n\nWill resolve NO if these apps are still legal and functional in at least four of the seven nations that comprise G7. ","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/ZacParker/uyv7mf33z2.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-23T19:05:59.356000Z","end_date":"2031-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13609.518960815345,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.3400764465332,"liquidity":10000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","World","Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.129889,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.129889,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-22T21:31:07.902863Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T21:31:07.902863Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/TOBEDELETED/will-messaging-apps-with-endtoend-e","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"ct30h17f23","event_id":"ct30h17f23","slug":"will-messaging-apps-with-endtoend-e","question":"Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Will resolve YES if four of the seven nations in G7 (France, United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Japan, Italy and Canada) have banned messaging apps that use end-to-end encryption, or have otherwise made these apps non-functional or non-private when used in those nations. \n\nWill resolve NO if these apps are still legal and functional in at least four of the seven nations that comprise G7. ","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/ZacParker/uyv7mf33z2.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.129889,0.870111],"probability":0.129889,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-23T19:05:59.356000Z","end_date":"2031-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":13609.518960815345,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.3400764465332,"liquidity":10000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","World","Politics"],"countries":["Canada","France","Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T22:16:32.763136Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T21:30:17.807222Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/TOBEDELETED/will-messaging-apps-with-endtoend-e","event_title":"Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?","chart_24h":null}]}