{"source":"manifold","id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","ticker":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":"best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","description":"As is now tradition for Rat unconferences, keep your ears open for great out-of-context quotes. Post them here. Bet on which is best, then vote. \n\nSame structure and resolution as last year's I'll make this market, accept open submissions, then make a poll with all the options after the market closes. Resolves to the quote that wins the poll.\n\nGuidance:\n\nSubmit as many as you want. The weirder the better IMO.\n\nYou can nominate others' quotes (this is the intention!)\n\nYou may self-nominate, but keep a reasonable bar.\n\nNo context. This is the out-of-context quote market. If you give the context for your quote it will be turned into paperclips. \n\nIf we get lots of submissions, I may only include the top ~20 or so options, by market probabilities.\n\nMarket manipulation encouraged. \n\nPrevious versions:\n\nManifest 2024: @/Joshua/best-manifest-out-of-context-quote \n\nLessOnline 2025: @/JohnofCharleston/best-outofcontext-lessonline-2025-q \n\nManifest 2025: @/Joshua/best-outofcontext-manifest-or-summe \n\nMetagame 2025: @/Joshua/best-outofcontext-metagame-2025-quo \nManifest X DC 2025: @/JohnofCharleston/best-outofcontext-manifestx-dc-quot \n\nNYC Megameetup 2025: @/JohnofCharleston/best-outofcontext-quote-from-nyc-me ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-12T15:28:27.029000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":15474.689325856525,"volume_24hr":6019.830131425094,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":60.85197830200195,"normalized_volume":34.92747116088867,"liquidity":3600.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["manifest","manifest-2024","manifest-2026"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"'forgive me claude, for i have prompted'","top_outcome_probability":0.180345,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.465949Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.465949Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.079838Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","chart_24h":[6425.516600729691,5018.260448924039,5149.447375120789,5415.659872846633,5620.659872846633,6019.830131425094],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"SZ0dR9Q8E9","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"Our Claude is an awesome Claude; he reigns from US-East-1 with wisdom, power, and love. Our Claude is an awesome Claude!","group_item_title":"Our Claude is an awesome Claude; he reigns from US-East-1 with wisdom, power, and love. Our Claude is an awesome Claude!","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.179587,0.820413],"probability":0.179587,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-15T04:56:45.515000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":1241.9939105978744,"volume_24hr":213.35302200148294,"prob_24h_change":0.101337,"volume_24h_change":190.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.147436141967773,"normalized_volume":19.05390167236328,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:25:48.963947Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.07825,0.07825,0.032239,0.147091,0.179587,0.179587,0.179587]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8PESZtNzcE","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"I still have not received nudes from her, except in a professional capacity.","group_item_title":"I still have not received nudes from her, except in a professional capacity.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.134849,0.865151],"probability":0.134849,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-12T19:35:57.816000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":1096.5960048710085,"volume_24hr":205.0000000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.15319,"volume_24h_change":200.0000000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.805885314941406,"normalized_volume":18.394384384155273,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:25:48.963947Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.288039,0.288039,0.434346,0.385167,0.134849,0.134849,0.134849]},{"source":"manifold","id":"O9CpZL0OCn","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"\"Every second you're masturbating, your not working on making ASI go right.\"","group_item_title":"\"Every second you're masturbating, your not working on making ASI go right.\"","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.071384,0.928616],"probability":0.071384,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-14T19:46:11.817000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":264.2764291728562,"volume_24hr":34.33942066384003,"prob_24h_change":0.05645700000000001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.210747718811035,"normalized_volume":11.688772201538086,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T01:12:42.189456Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.014927,0.014927,0.019722,0.017556,0.071384,0.071384,0.071384,0.071384]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0LAt6CAI09","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"You don’t necessarily want *strangers* eating your kids","group_item_title":"You don’t necessarily want *strangers* eating your kids","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.05479,0.94521],"probability":0.05479,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-14T18:07:34.969000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":444.86828222290035,"volume_24hr":41.24237859325285,"prob_24h_change":-0.093756,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.258400917053223,"normalized_volume":13.965076446533203,"liquidity":96.89736723771935,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:25:48.963947Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.148546,0.148546,0.084314,0.070209,0.05479,0.05479,0.05479]},{"source":"manifold","id":"RZ0QQ02Qdz","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"I think you can have children without talking about it","group_item_title":"I think you can have children without talking about it","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.052807,0.947193],"probability":0.052807,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-15T01:35:34.854000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":547.5672086111459,"volume_24hr":45.56720861114593,"prob_24h_change":0.040051,"volume_24h_change":45.342682486258184,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.852334976196289,"normalized_volume":14.930302619934082,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:25:48.963947Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.012756,0.012756,0.015415,0.014104,0.052807,0.052807,0.052807]},{"source":"manifold","id":"SdUALQ80ct","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"Other","group_item_title":"Other","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.039584,0.960416],"probability":0.039584,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-12T15:28:27.030000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":4812.209395038653,"volume_24hr":25.216541475504528,"prob_24h_change":-0.019366,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.571856498718262,"normalized_volume":26.98247528076172,"liquidity":73.45877938064571,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:25:48.963947Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.05895,0.05895,0.030792,0.028703,0.039584,0.039584,0.039584]},{"source":"manifold","id":"tzOyzQ09hL","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"\"You need the sex workers to tell you about work life balance\"","group_item_title":"\"You need the sex workers to tell you about work life balance\"","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.033359,0.966641],"probability":0.033359,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-15T03:31:18.180000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":101.407000553126,"volume_24hr":0.4070005531259966,"prob_24h_change":-0.0007059999999999983,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.0936739444732666,"normalized_volume":8.041669845581055,"liquidity":90.95748875348636,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:25:48.963947Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.034065,0.034065,0.044389,0.039376,0.033359,0.033359,0.033359]},{"source":"manifold","id":"E5S2Llcs8h","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"“Someone got shot like eight miles away, so when that’s over I’m going to Taco Bell.”","group_item_title":"“Someone got shot like eight miles away, so when that’s over I’m going to Taco Bell.”","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.029604,0.970396],"probability":0.029604,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-15T09:50:52.294000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":122.92029195871774,"volume_24hr":29.92029195871774,"prob_24h_change":-0.043081,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.459856986999512,"normalized_volume":8.717846870422363,"liquidity":82.2083687376338,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:25:48.963947Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.072685,0.072685,0.035465,0.032909,0.029604,0.029604,0.029604]},{"source":"manifold","id":"QzLhEQ5O56","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"Capitalism has something to offer you, too: money. Go get it!","group_item_title":"Capitalism has something to offer you, too: money. Go get it!","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.021055,0.978945],"probability":0.021055,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-12T18:59:47.166000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":273.8278233835565,"volume_24hr":49.99999999999997,"prob_24h_change":-0.0011479999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.420160293579102,"normalized_volume":11.837414741516113,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:25:48.963947Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.022203,0.022203,0.026037,0.02305,0.021055,0.021055,0.021055]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Euqnz0hpyh","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"We're rigging the ecological studies and killing the local wildlife","group_item_title":"We're rigging the ecological studies and killing the local wildlife","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.020989,0.979011],"probability":0.020989,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-15T07:56:06.396000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":24.84084436410657,"volume_24hr":21.84084436410657,"prob_24h_change":-0.029508,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.863664627075195,"normalized_volume":3.96889591217041,"liquidity":75.5779239563953,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:25:48.963947Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.050497,0.050497,0.025026,0.023267,0.020989,0.020989,0.020989]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2OLyIqc6P2","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"I'm about to bust. This might not be a lie. ","group_item_title":"I'm about to bust. This might not be a lie. ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.013233,0.986767],"probability":0.013233,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-15T03:06:59.835000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":611.4032966776122,"volume_24hr":0.40329667761216115,"prob_24h_change":-0.0005319999999999995,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.09223327785730362,"normalized_volume":15.456006050109863,"liquidity":98.79141009831315,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:25:48.963947Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.013765,0.013765,0.016204,0.014895,0.013233,0.013233,0.013233]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lpPI80p58p","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"The thing is, he’s autistic, but he’s a fireman; that’s almost like being British.","group_item_title":"The thing is, he’s autistic, but he’s a fireman; that’s almost like being British.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.010113,0.989887],"probability":0.010113,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-15T06:05:30.693000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":235.91826856153173,"volume_24hr":17.35527332216182,"prob_24h_change":-0.022210999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.802990436553955,"normalized_volume":11.219979286193848,"liquidity":95.23837552882875,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:25:48.963947Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.032324,0.032324,0.011783,0.011062,0.010113,0.010113,0.010113]},{"source":"manifold","id":"U2ZhR952CS","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"Wait, did they name a trading firm after your trading firm?","group_item_title":"Wait, did they name a trading firm after your trading firm?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.009484,0.990516],"probability":0.009484,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-13T02:14:57.880000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":755.733726030868,"volume_24hr":112.08160170766757,"prob_24h_change":0.000016999999999999654,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.960308074951172,"normalized_volume":16.492170333862305,"liquidity":71.10823181475935,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:25:48.963947Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.009467,0.009467,0.012687,0.011223,0.009484,0.009484,0.009484]},{"source":"manifold","id":"PhO2tytSIE","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"\"There are sex workers who also have broadswords\"","group_item_title":"\"There are sex workers who also have broadswords\"","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.007448,0.992552],"probability":0.007448,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-15T03:30:52.675000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":263.4661297191499,"volume_24hr":12.466129719149876,"prob_24h_change":-0.015012000000000001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.431811809539795,"normalized_volume":11.6759614944458,"liquidity":96.38529684334276,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:25:48.963947Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.02246,0.02246,0.008622,0.008116,0.007448,0.007448,0.007448]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lAA9UC22uC","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"'forgive me claude, for i have prompted'","group_item_title":"'forgive me claude, for i have prompted'","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.180345,0.819655],"probability":0.180345,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-15T23:03:38.774000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":342.3106804500873,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.793903350830078,"liquidity":73.45877938064571,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T23:13:57.702175Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.180345,0.180345]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5hlECIlgls","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"Are you the jim with really bad takes?","group_item_title":"Are you the jim with really bad takes?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.028828,0.971172],"probability":0.028828,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-13T04:26:00.047000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":642.5565918801716,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.00010599999999999846,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.695940017700195,"liquidity":70.40554981257857,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.028722,0.028722,0.053322,0.040749,0.028828,0.028828]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ScNc8QLyIl","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"So you're paying somebody to sign a non-compete that they will not live in another group house?","group_item_title":"So you're paying somebody to sign a non-compete that they will not live in another group house?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.023898,0.976102],"probability":0.023898,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-14T23:46:19.410000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":71.70385081535679,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0000449999999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.895480632781982,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.023853,0.023853,0.032525,0.028564,0.023898,0.023898]},{"source":"manifold","id":"z2d0QChUc8","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"Glazing is a term of art in the painting community ","group_item_title":"Glazing is a term of art in the painting community ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.018016,0.981984],"probability":0.018016,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-14T07:35:47.487000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":1384.066247258716,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.000030000000000002247,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.637113571166992,"liquidity":83.04472877400498,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.017986,0.017986,0.023598,0.021072,0.018016,0.018016]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9hPcEQlpE2","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"\"I've never had someone apologize to me for going to prison before\"","group_item_title":"\"I've never had someone apologize to me for going to prison before\"","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.016593,0.983407],"probability":0.016593,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-13T01:38:38.870000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":891.4211532890776,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.00003600000000000131,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.323013305664062,"liquidity":69.63676250371941,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.016557,0.016557,0.023664,0.020353,0.016593,0.016593]},{"source":"manifold","id":"c8LdU8tcQE","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"\"I do wish to talk to you, but not at the moment.\" / \"I appreciate your autistic honesty.\"","group_item_title":"\"I do wish to talk to you, but not at the moment.\" / \"I appreciate your autistic honesty.\"","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.016375,0.983625],"probability":0.016375,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-13T22:39:17.293000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":251.37046892735654,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.00004300000000000137,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.480785369873047,"liquidity":76.1121875968239,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.016332,0.016332,0.02506,0.020882,0.016375,0.016375]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Z9q0Cy9dNp","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"Claude, are you there? Its me, God.","group_item_title":"Claude, are you there? Its me, God.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.008869,0.991131],"probability":0.008869,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-14T05:15:37.198000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":359.0477339930708,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.000014999999999999389,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.003363609313965,"liquidity":92.32528830281365,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.008854,0.008854,0.011497,0.010311,0.008869,0.008869]},{"source":"manifold","id":"05PULURAIg","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"\"I want a big-ass nut\"","group_item_title":"\"I want a big-ass nut\"","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.007384,0.992616],"probability":0.007384,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-12T15:56:38.486000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":132.2874709878459,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":2.999999999999531e-6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.983455657958984,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.007381,0.007381,0.007877,0.007672,0.007384,0.007384]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ZE2255y8OZ","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"The gays don't own the rainbow","group_item_title":"The gays don't own the rainbow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.006026,0.993974],"probability":0.006026,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-14T19:54:04.039000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":66.93775823053383,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":7.000000000000062e-6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.6790595054626465,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.006019,0.006019,0.007195,0.006685,0.006026,0.006026]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lAAsCSllP0","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"If they can't afford a phone they don't deserve to make money as efficiently","group_item_title":"If they can't afford a phone they don't deserve to make money as efficiently","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.004558,0.995442],"probability":0.004558,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-14T06:32:59.366000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":298.80664813968946,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":5.000000000000664e-6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.206974029541016,"liquidity":88.0334364230932,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.004553,0.004553,0.005352,0.005008,0.004558,0.004558]},{"source":"manifold","id":"L0CAzu9Znq","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"I think it could have gone better if he had refrained from calling the President a pedophile","group_item_title":"I think it could have gone better if he had refrained from calling the President a pedophile","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.004555,0.995445],"probability":0.004555,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-14T01:50:27.242000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":69.16784682617802,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":5.999999999999929e-6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.7817230224609375,"liquidity":83.69462825829433,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.004549,0.004549,0.005632,0.005155,0.004555,0.004555]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2pOp9g5Nzz","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"Ocean's 101 Dalmations","group_item_title":"Ocean's 101 Dalmations","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.003657,0.996343],"probability":0.003657,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-12T19:42:51.189000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":98.74298230130933,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":4.000000000000097e-6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.950347900390625,"liquidity":81.87394886628763,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.003653,0.003653,0.004217,0.003976,0.003657,0.003657]},{"source":"manifold","id":"qPEglqU0QC","event_id":"d2P5Ld00Sz","slug":null,"question":"Have you seen the news? I'm going to make so much money for the Lemur Defense Fund.","group_item_title":"Have you seen the news? I'm going to make so much money for the Lemur Defense Fund.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00261,0.99739],"probability":0.00261,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-13T01:36:32.957000Z","end_date":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-15T23:59:00Z","volume":69.24128099402294,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":1.9999999999998318e-6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.785060882568359,"liquidity":67.42242740702105,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T00:01:33.477528Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T20:04:12.263128Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Joshua/best-outofcontext-quote-at-manifest","event_title":"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026","chart_24h":[0.002608,0.002608,0.003022,0.002844,0.00261,0.00261]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/d2P5Ld00Sz","as_of":"2026-06-16T18:30:28.502663Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026\" — top market at 18% probability across 27 outcomes","source_url":null}}