{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/d7raepyhy8","as_of":"2026-11-05T01:06:04.834182Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?\" — 1% as of 2026-11-05 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/d7raepyhy8","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/WinstonWalker/will-it-come-to-light-that-joe-bide"},"source":"manifold","id":"d7raepyhy8","ticker":null,"slug":"will-it-come-to-light-that-joe-bide","title":"Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?","description":"This will resolve yes if substantial evidence or an admission by a White House/campaign insider that Joe Biden used a body double at least once during his presidency or while campaigning (e.g. before he was elected on the 2020 campaign). Resolution date will be set to the end of the next presidential term.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/WinstonWalker/5sgo8vb6ft.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-04T19:02:15.805000Z","end_date":"2028-01-21T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":117558.9199061282,"volume_24hr":21015.501087250253,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.07997512817383,"normalized_volume":50.114051818847656,"liquidity":10000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?","top_outcome_probability":0.01,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":21015.501087250253,"updated_at":"2026-11-05T00:16:36.023243Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T00:16:36.023243Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/WinstonWalker/will-it-come-to-light-that-joe-bide","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"d7raepyhy8","event_id":"d7raepyhy8","slug":"will-it-come-to-light-that-joe-bide","question":"Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This will resolve yes if substantial evidence or an admission by a White House/campaign insider that Joe Biden used a body double at least once during his presidency or while campaigning (e.g. before he was elected on the 2020 campaign). Resolution date will be set to the end of the next presidential term.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/WinstonWalker/5sgo8vb6ft.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-04T19:02:15.805000Z","end_date":"2028-01-21T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":117558.9199061282,"volume_24hr":21015.501087250253,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":21015.501087250253,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.07997512817383,"normalized_volume":50.114051818847656,"liquidity":10000.0,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T00:14:50.888804Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T00:14:50.888804Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/WinstonWalker/will-it-come-to-light-that-joe-bide","event_title":"Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}]}