{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/dISlPtAINQ","as_of":"2026-10-24T01:52:07.582257Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?\" — 13% as of 2026-10-19 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/dISlPtAINQ","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/DaftPunkRock/acx-2026-will-the-composition-of-th"},"source":"manifold","id":"dISlPtAINQ","ticker":null,"slug":"acx-2026-will-the-composition-of-th","title":"[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?","description":"(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41072)\n\nResolves according to Metaculus resolution.\n\nMetaculus high-level description:\nThis question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2027, any of the following takes place:\n\na sitting US Supreme Court Justice officially leaves office\n\na federal bill that changes the number of seats in the US Supreme Court is enacted, regardless of the effective date.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T23:13:06.171000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30321.801271410935,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.176170349121094,"liquidity":5100.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.127556,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.127556,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-19T19:24:49.672624Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T19:24:49.672624Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T09:19:32.414860Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/DaftPunkRock/acx-2026-will-the-composition-of-th","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"dISlPtAINQ","event_id":"dISlPtAINQ","slug":"acx-2026-will-the-composition-of-th","question":"[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41072)\n\nResolves according to Metaculus resolution.\n\nMetaculus high-level description:\nThis question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2027, any of the following takes place:\n\na sitting US Supreme Court Justice officially leaves office\n\na federal bill that changes the number of seats in the US Supreme Court is enacted, regardless of the effective date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.127556,0.872444],"probability":0.127556,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T23:13:06.171000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":30321.801271410935,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.176170349121094,"liquidity":5100.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T19:24:05.260669Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T19:24:05.260669Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T09:19:32.414860Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/DaftPunkRock/acx-2026-will-the-composition-of-th","event_title":"[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?","chart_24h":null}]}